Drake's ninth studio album *Iceman* dropping today, May 15, has locked in near-unanimous trader consensus at 99% implied probability for his new song release, fulfilling market criteria with original tracks now streaming on Spotify and Apple Music. Nicki Minaj follows closely at 96%, buoyed by her sixth album's March 27 rollout, while Lil Uzi Vert's recent confirmation of a 2026 project pushes odds to around 70-95% amid high volume. Taylor Swift and Beyoncé hover in the 50-56% range on unconfirmed rumors and historical release patterns, with Frank Ocean lagging at 24% due to prolonged silence. Traders eye upcoming catalysts like Tove Lo's *Estrus* in September and Gracie Abrams' July album, but surprise drops remain a wildcard through December 31 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакие исполнители выпустят новую песню в 2026 году?
Какие исполнители выпустят новую песню в 2026 году?
$109,519 Объем
Дрейк
100%
Ники Минаж
99%
Lil Uzi Vert
61%
Тейлор Свифт
64%
Бейонсе
53%
SZA
53%
Фрэнк Оушен
24%
JAY-Z
49%
$109,519 Объем
Дрейк
100%
Ники Минаж
99%
Lil Uzi Vert
61%
Тейлор Свифт
64%
Бейонсе
53%
SZA
53%
Фрэнк Оушен
24%
JAY-Z
49%
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances, recordings of live performances, or leaks) by the resolution date.
Live versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, or similar non-original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count.
If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the credits of the below-listed resolution sources (e.g., the song ‘girl, get up.’ counts as a new release for SZA as she is, equally to Doechii, labeled “Main Artist” in the Spotify credits to the song, regardless of feature indication in the title).
For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Открытие рынка: Nov 12, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances, recordings of live performances, or leaks) by the resolution date.
Live versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, or similar non-original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count.
If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the credits of the below-listed resolution sources (e.g., the song ‘girl, get up.’ counts as a new release for SZA as she is, equally to Doechii, labeled “Main Artist” in the Spotify credits to the song, regardless of feature indication in the title).
For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution.
The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Drake's ninth studio album *Iceman* dropping today, May 15, has locked in near-unanimous trader consensus at 99% implied probability for his new song release, fulfilling market criteria with original tracks now streaming on Spotify and Apple Music. Nicki Minaj follows closely at 96%, buoyed by her sixth album's March 27 rollout, while Lil Uzi Vert's recent confirmation of a 2026 project pushes odds to around 70-95% amid high volume. Taylor Swift and Beyoncé hover in the 50-56% range on unconfirmed rumors and historical release patterns, with Frank Ocean lagging at 24% due to prolonged silence. Traders eye upcoming catalysts like Tove Lo's *Estrus* in September and Gracie Abrams' July album, but surprise drops remain a wildcard through December 31 resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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