Anthropic's Claude Mythos 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5 currently lead multiple independent leaderboards, including BenchAlign and composite quality indices, establishing the company as the clear frontrunner in trader sentiment for the top AI model by end of October. These models outperform competitors on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks, reflecting recent mid-2026 releases that strengthened Anthropic's edge in frontier capabilities. Other labs like OpenAI with GPT-5.6 variants remain competitive on select metrics but trail overall, while lower-probability names such as Meta, Google, and Mistral show limited recent momentum. With roughly ten weeks remaining, new model drops or benchmark shifts could alter positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет модель искусственного интеллекта №1 в конце октября? (Управление стилем включено)
Anthropic 76%
Meta 6%
Xiaomi 5.4%
Google 4.6%

Anthropic
76%

Meta
6%

Xiaomi
5%

5%

Amazon
4%

Tencent
4%

OpenAI
4%

Meituan
4%

Alibaba
4%

DeepSeek
4%

StepFun
3%

SpaceXAI
3%

Z.ai
3%

Moonshot
3%

ByteDance
3%

MiniMax
3%

Mistral
3%

Nvidia
9%

Microsoft
9%

Baidu
1%

Thinky
7%
Anthropic 76%
Meta 6%
Xiaomi 5.4%
Google 4.6%

Anthropic
76%

Meta
6%

Xiaomi
5%

5%

Amazon
4%

Tencent
4%

OpenAI
4%

Meituan
4%

Alibaba
4%

DeepSeek
4%

StepFun
3%

SpaceXAI
3%

Z.ai
3%

Moonshot
3%

ByteDance
3%

MiniMax
3%

Mistral
3%

Nvidia
9%

Microsoft
9%

Baidu
1%

Thinky
7%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Mythos 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5 currently lead multiple independent leaderboards, including BenchAlign and composite quality indices, establishing the company as the clear frontrunner in trader sentiment for the top AI model by end of October. These models outperform competitors on key benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and agentic tasks, reflecting recent mid-2026 releases that strengthened Anthropic's edge in frontier capabilities. Other labs like OpenAI with GPT-5.6 variants remain competitive on select metrics but trail overall, while lower-probability names such as Meta, Google, and Mistral show limited recent momentum. With roughly ten weeks remaining, new model drops or benchmark shifts could alter positioning before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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