Anthropic holds a commanding 90% implied probability in this LiveBench Coding market because its Claude models, including recent Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants, have posted the strongest verified scores on the benchmark’s coding category and closely related agentic coding evals such as SWE-bench Verified. Independent June 2026 snapshots showed Claude entries ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol variants by several points in coding-specific tasks, reinforcing trader consensus around Anthropic’s edge in sustained code generation, debugging, and repository-scale work. OpenAI trails at just 6.5% amid mixed results on harder agentic tests, while other labs remain far behind on public leaderboards. With roughly eight weeks until the October close, any new frontier release or updated LiveBench snapshot could still alter the ranking, though recent patterns favor continued Anthropic dominance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ на LiveBench (Coding) в конце октября?
Какая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ на LiveBench (Coding) в конце октября?
Anthropic 90%
OpenAI 7%
DeepSeek <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
$16,004 Объем
$16,004 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
90%
OpenAI
7%
DeepSeek
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Anthropic 90%
OpenAI 7%
DeepSeek <1%
SpaceXAI <1%
$16,004 Объем
$16,004 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$5,428 Объем
90%
OpenAI
$2,411 Объем
7%
DeepSeek
$513 Объем
1%
SpaceXAI
$596 Объем
<1%
$546 Объем
<1%
Nvidia
$455 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$424 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$552 Объем
<1%
Tencent
$297 Объем
<1%
Microsoft
$426 Объем
<1%
StepFun
$334 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$395 Объем
<1%
Z.ai
$507 Объем
<1%
Xiaomi
$468 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$410 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$363 Объем
<1%
Thinky
$454 Объем
<1%
Meituan
$364 Объем
<1%
Meta
$398 Объем
<1%
Alibaba
$355 Объем
<1%
Moonshot
$310 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds a commanding 90% implied probability in this LiveBench Coding market because its Claude models, including recent Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants, have posted the strongest verified scores on the benchmark’s coding category and closely related agentic coding evals such as SWE-bench Verified. Independent June 2026 snapshots showed Claude entries ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol variants by several points in coding-specific tasks, reinforcing trader consensus around Anthropic’s edge in sustained code generation, debugging, and repository-scale work. OpenAI trails at just 6.5% amid mixed results on harder agentic tests, while other labs remain far behind on public leaderboards. With roughly eight weeks until the October close, any new frontier release or updated LiveBench snapshot could still alter the ranking, though recent patterns favor continued Anthropic dominance.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Объем
$16,004Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds a commanding 90% implied probability in this LiveBench Coding market because its Claude models, including recent Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants, have posted the strongest verified scores on the benchmark’s coding category and closely related agentic coding evals such as SWE-bench Verified. Independent June 2026 snapshots showed Claude entries ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol variants by several points in coding-specific tasks, reinforcing trader consensus around Anthropic’s edge in sustained code generation, debugging, and repository-scale work. OpenAI trails at just 6.5% amid mixed results on harder agentic tests, while other labs remain far behind on public leaderboards. With roughly eight weeks until the October close, any new frontier release or updated LiveBench snapshot could still alter the ranking, though recent patterns favor continued Anthropic dominance.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Объем
$16,004Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 8:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds a commanding 90% implied probability in this LiveBench Coding market because its Claude models, including recent Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants, have posted the strongest verified scores on the benchmark’s coding category and closely related agentic coding evals such as SWE-bench Verified. Independent June 2026 snapshots showed Claude entries ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol variants by several points in coding-specific tasks, reinforcing trader consensus around Anthropic’s edge in sustained code generation, debugging, and repository-scale work. OpenAI trails at just 6.5% amid mixed results on harder agentic tests, while other labs remain far behind on public leaderboards. With roughly eight weeks until the October close, any new frontier release or updated LiveBench snapshot could still alter the ranking, though recent patterns favor continued Anthropic dominance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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