Google's leading position reflects its recent dominance in advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including Gemini 3.1 Pro's top scores on MATH and GPQA Diamond alongside DeepMind's AlphaProof Nexus solving multiple open Erdős problems in May. These capabilities, powered by specialized Deep Think modes that achieve IMO gold-medal standards, have solidified trader consensus around Google's edge with little time left before end-of-June resolution. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.8 and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro remain competitive on general reasoning and some abstract tasks but trail on dedicated math evaluations, keeping their implied probabilities lower amid a tight frontier race where incremental releases could still shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Google 63%
Anthropic 16%
OpenAI 13%
Z.ai <1%
$220,021 Объем
$220,021 Объем

63%

Anthropic
16%

OpenAI
13%

Z.ai
1%

Moonshot
1%

Alibaba
<1%

xAI
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Meta
<1%

Baidu
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%
Google 63%
Anthropic 16%
OpenAI 13%
Z.ai <1%
$220,021 Объем
$220,021 Объем

63%

Anthropic
16%

OpenAI
13%

Z.ai
1%

Moonshot
1%

Alibaba
<1%

xAI
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Meta
<1%

Baidu
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Meituan
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 26, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's leading position reflects its recent dominance in advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks, including Gemini 3.1 Pro's top scores on MATH and GPQA Diamond alongside DeepMind's AlphaProof Nexus solving multiple open Erdős problems in May. These capabilities, powered by specialized Deep Think modes that achieve IMO gold-medal standards, have solidified trader consensus around Google's edge with little time left before end-of-June resolution. Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.8 and OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro remain competitive on general reasoning and some abstract tasks but trail on dedicated math evaluations, keeping their implied probabilities lower amid a tight frontier race where incremental releases could still shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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