Anthropic's 68.5% implied probability stems from its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 models holding the top ranks on the Text Arena math leaderboard through mid-2026, driven by superior performance in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and user-voted comparisons. These releases built on extended thinking capabilities and strong results in complex problem-solving, outpacing rivals on the specific arena platform that resolves the market. OpenAI (15.5%) and Google (10.8%) trail due to comparatively lower math-category Elo scores despite strengths in other domains, while lower-probability entrants like Moonshot or DeepSeek show niche benchmark leads but lack arena dominance. New model drops or leaderboard shifts before October end remain key swing factors in this closely watched tech race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУ какой компании лучшая модель ИИ Text Arena Math в конце октября?
У какой компании лучшая модель ИИ Text Arena Math в конце октября?
Anthropic 69%
OpenAI 16%
Google 4.6%
Alibaba 3.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
69%
OpenAI
16%
11%
Alibaba
3%
Meta
2%
StepFun
2%
Moonshot
2%
Tencent
2%
Amazon
2%
SpaceXAI
2%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meituan
1%
Baidu
1%
MiniMax
1%
ByteDance
1%
Microsoft
1%
Nvidia
1%
Mistral
1%
Anthropic 69%
OpenAI 16%
Google 4.6%
Alibaba 3.3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$778 Объем
69%
OpenAI
$230 Объем
16%
$170 Объем
11%
Alibaba
$93 Объем
3%
Meta
$103 Объем
2%
StepFun
$142 Объем
2%
Moonshot
$93 Объем
2%
Tencent
$181 Объем
2%
Amazon
$177 Объем
2%
SpaceXAI
$95 Объем
2%
Xiaomi
$218 Объем
1%
DeepSeek
$193 Объем
1%
Z.ai
$124 Объем
1%
Meituan
$142 Объем
1%
Baidu
$124 Объем
1%
MiniMax
$162 Объем
1%
ByteDance
$149 Объем
1%
Microsoft
$124 Объем
1%
Nvidia
$145 Объем
1%
Mistral
$184 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's 68.5% implied probability stems from its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 models holding the top ranks on the Text Arena math leaderboard through mid-2026, driven by superior performance in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and user-voted comparisons. These releases built on extended thinking capabilities and strong results in complex problem-solving, outpacing rivals on the specific arena platform that resolves the market. OpenAI (15.5%) and Google (10.8%) trail due to comparatively lower math-category Elo scores despite strengths in other domains, while lower-probability entrants like Moonshot or DeepSeek show niche benchmark leads but lack arena dominance. New model drops or leaderboard shifts before October end remain key swing factors in this closely watched tech race.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Объем
$3,628Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's 68.5% implied probability stems from its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 models holding the top ranks on the Text Arena math leaderboard through mid-2026, driven by superior performance in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and user-voted comparisons. These releases built on extended thinking capabilities and strong results in complex problem-solving, outpacing rivals on the specific arena platform that resolves the market. OpenAI (15.5%) and Google (10.8%) trail due to comparatively lower math-category Elo scores despite strengths in other domains, while lower-probability entrants like Moonshot or DeepSeek show niche benchmark leads but lack arena dominance. New model drops or leaderboard shifts before October end remain key swing factors in this closely watched tech race.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$3,628Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's 68.5% implied probability stems from its Claude Fable 5, Mythos 5, and Opus 5 models holding the top ranks on the Text Arena math leaderboard through mid-2026, driven by superior performance in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and user-voted comparisons. These releases built on extended thinking capabilities and strong results in complex problem-solving, outpacing rivals on the specific arena platform that resolves the market. OpenAI (15.5%) and Google (10.8%) trail due to comparatively lower math-category Elo scores despite strengths in other domains, while lower-probability entrants like Moonshot or DeepSeek show niche benchmark leads but lack arena dominance. New model drops or leaderboard shifts before October end remain key swing factors in this closely watched tech race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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