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Политика·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Политика·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$262,781 Объем

3 нояб. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$262,781 Объем

Polymarket

California

$12,000 Объем

97%

Texas

$5,235 Объем

94%

North Carolina

$8,686 Объем

98%

Ohio

$6,230 Объем

94%

Utah

$61,108 Объем

88%

Florida

$1,177 Объем

63%

Louisiana

$15,717 Объем

90%

Missouri

$3,904 Объем

86%

Virginia

$6,915 Объем

7%

Alabama

$14,782 Объем

80%

South Carolina

$22,025 Объем

80%

Georgia

$3,063 Объем

14%

Kansas

$5,162 Объем

9%

New Jersey

$5,044 Объем

6%

Indiana

$28,282 Объем

6%

Washington

$5,625 Объем

7%

Nebraska

$6,500 Объем

6%

Illinois

$10,019 Объем

3%

Minnesota

$9,398 Объем

3%

New York

$8,026 Объем

13%

Maryland

$8,668 Объем

17%

Wisconsin

$15,218 Объем

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states have enacted new congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterms through legislative action or court rulings, driven by partisan efforts to adjust district lines for potential gains in House seats. A late April Supreme Court decision striking down Louisiana’s map as improperly race-based triggered immediate follow-on moves, including delayed primaries and new proposals in Alabama, Tennessee, and South Carolina. Republican-led states such as Texas, North Carolina, and Florida completed revisions favoring their party, while California pursued changes expected to benefit Democrats. Ongoing litigation in Georgia and Alabama, plus primary rescheduling needs, remain key variables that could determine final map usage before November.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$262,781
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Several states have enacted new congressional maps ahead of the 2026 midterms through legislative action or court rulings, driven by partisan efforts to adjust district lines for potential gains in House seats. A late April Supreme Court decision striking down Louisiana’s map as improperly race-based triggered immediate follow-on moves, including delayed primaries and new proposals in Alabama, Tennessee, and South Carolina. Republican-led states such as Texas, North Carolina, and Florida completed revisions favoring their party, while California pursued changes expected to benefit Democrats. Ongoing litigation in Georgia and Alabama, plus primary rescheduling needs, remain key variables that could determine final map usage before November.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$262,781
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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На сегодняшний день «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $262.8K с момента запуска рынка Apr 30, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» — «North Carolina» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «California» с 97%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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