Skip to main content
icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$246,754 Объем

3 нояб. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$246,754 Объем

Polymarket

California

$11,792 Объем

95%

Texas

$3,356 Объем

95%

North Carolina

$8,544 Объем

97%

Ohio

$5,655 Объем

93%

Utah

$58,474 Объем

85%

Florida

$1,177 Объем

57%

Louisiana

$15,515 Объем

91%

Missouri

$3,794 Объем

84%

Virginia

$6,339 Объем

16%

Alabama

$13,838 Объем

89%

South Carolina

$20,568 Объем

72%

Georgia

$1,945 Объем

12%

Kansas

$5,012 Объем

8%

New Jersey

$5,044 Объем

5%

Indiana

$26,094 Объем

11%

Washington

$5,135 Объем

8%

Nebraska

$6,500 Объем

7%

Illinois

$9,377 Объем

3%

Minnesota

$9,318 Объем

3%

New York

$8,026 Объем

13%

Maryland

$6,044 Объем

4%

Wisconsin

$15,208 Объем

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms in states like California (95%), Texas (95%), North Carolina (97%), and Ohio (94%), reflecting enacted redraws post-2024 elections amid mid-decade battles spurred by the Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidating race-based gerrymanders under the Voting Rights Act. Recent catalysts include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4 and Tennessee's on May 7; Virginia's Supreme Court striking down a voter-approved Democratic plan on May 8, slashing odds to 12%; SCOTUS lifting Alabama injunctions on May 11 to enable changes (89%); and South Carolina lawmakers rejecting redistricting on May 12 (60%). Ongoing Louisiana litigation and potential SCOTUS appeals could shift probabilities before November primaries and generals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$246,754
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms in states like California (95%), Texas (95%), North Carolina (97%), and Ohio (94%), reflecting enacted redraws post-2024 elections amid mid-decade battles spurred by the Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidating race-based gerrymanders under the Voting Rights Act. Recent catalysts include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4 and Tennessee's on May 7; Virginia's Supreme Court striking down a voter-approved Democratic plan on May 8, slashing odds to 12%; SCOTUS lifting Alabama injunctions on May 11 to enable changes (89%); and South Carolina lawmakers rejecting redistricting on May 12 (60%). Ongoing Louisiana litigation and potential SCOTUS appeals could shift probabilities before November primaries and generals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$246,754
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 22 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «North Carolina» с 97%, за ним следует «California» с 95%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 97¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $246.8K с момента запуска рынка Apr 30, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?», просмотри 22 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» — «North Carolina» с 97%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Следующий ближайший исход — «California» с 95%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.