Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, particularly the April 2026 decision limiting the Voting Rights Act's requirements for majority-minority districts in cases like Louisiana v. Callais, have accelerated mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterms. Republican-led legislatures in states such as Texas, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Tennessee enacted new maps through special sessions, often shifting seats toward GOP-leaning districts, while California voters approved Democratic-drawn lines via ballot measure. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, plus potential further challenges in Tennessee, continues to shape which maps will govern candidate filing, primaries, and the November elections. These developments reflect partisan efforts to adjust electoral boundaries before the next decennial census.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$262,781 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
California
97%
Texas
94%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
94%
Utah
88%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
91%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
80%
South Carolina
78%
Georgia
14%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
7%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
5%
$262,781 Объем
California
$12,000 Объем
97%
Texas
$5,235 Объем
94%
North Carolina
$8,686 Объем
98%
Ohio
$6,230 Объем
94%
Utah
$61,108 Объем
88%
Florida
$1,177 Объем
63%
Louisiana
$15,717 Объем
91%
Missouri
$3,904 Объем
86%
Virginia
$6,915 Объем
7%
Alabama
$14,782 Объем
80%
South Carolina
$22,025 Объем
78%
Georgia
$3,063 Объем
14%
Kansas
$5,162 Объем
9%
New Jersey
$5,044 Объем
6%
Indiana
$28,282 Объем
6%
Washington
$5,625 Объем
7%
Nebraska
$6,500 Объем
6%
Illinois
$10,019 Объем
3%
Minnesota
$9,398 Объем
3%
New York
$8,026 Объем
13%
Maryland
$8,668 Объем
17%
Wisconsin
$15,218 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, particularly the April 2026 decision limiting the Voting Rights Act's requirements for majority-minority districts in cases like Louisiana v. Callais, have accelerated mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterms. Republican-led legislatures in states such as Texas, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Tennessee enacted new maps through special sessions, often shifting seats toward GOP-leaning districts, while California voters approved Democratic-drawn lines via ballot measure. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, plus potential further challenges in Tennessee, continues to shape which maps will govern candidate filing, primaries, and the November elections. These developments reflect partisan efforts to adjust electoral boundaries before the next decennial census.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Объем
$262,781Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, particularly the April 2026 decision limiting the Voting Rights Act's requirements for majority-minority districts in cases like Louisiana v. Callais, have accelerated mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterms. Republican-led legislatures in states such as Texas, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Tennessee enacted new maps through special sessions, often shifting seats toward GOP-leaning districts, while California voters approved Democratic-drawn lines via ballot measure. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, plus potential further challenges in Tennessee, continues to shape which maps will govern candidate filing, primaries, and the November elections. These developments reflect partisan efforts to adjust electoral boundaries before the next decennial census.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$262,781Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, particularly the April 2026 decision limiting the Voting Rights Act's requirements for majority-minority districts in cases like Louisiana v. Callais, have accelerated mid-decade congressional redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterms. Republican-led legislatures in states such as Texas, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, and Tennessee enacted new maps through special sessions, often shifting seats toward GOP-leaning districts, while California voters approved Democratic-drawn lines via ballot measure. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, plus potential further challenges in Tennessee, continues to shape which maps will govern candidate filing, primaries, and the November elections. These developments reflect partisan efforts to adjust electoral boundaries before the next decennial census.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы