**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
$186,912 Объем
$186,912 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
$186,912 Объем
$186,912 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ET
Объем
$186,912Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$186,912Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Saudi Arabia's insistence on tangible progress toward a Palestinian state continues to block major expansion, outweighing recent U.S. diplomatic pressure.** Despite President Trump's May 2026 calls linking new accessions to an Iran peace framework and earlier bilateral meetings with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Riyadh has maintained its longstanding conditions without movement. Kazakhstan's November 2025 accession and Somaliland's December pledge were largely symbolic, as both already maintained ties with Israel. Syria has signaled reluctance amid border frictions, while other candidates like Qatar and Pakistan have shown little concrete follow-through. With only months remaining before 2027 and no verified breakthroughs in the past six months, traders assign a modest edge to "No," viewing procedural and geopolitical barriers as durable in the near term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы