The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, establishes a collective defense framework under which an armed attack on one signatory is treated as an attack on all, with provisions for expanded military cooperation. Signatories have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting diplomatic interest from several states. Bangladesh has publicly signaled a positive stance toward potential membership, while Egypt is reviewing participation amid existing regional commitments. Reports have also referenced possible interest from Gulf states such as Qatar and the UAE, as well as others including Iraq. No formal accessions have occurred in the three weeks since signing. Key variables for the December 31, 2026, resolution window include ongoing bilateral consultations, regional security dynamics, and any ministerial-level follow-up meetings that could advance negotiations. Trader assessments reflect uncertainty over timelines and the alignment of prospective members' foreign policy priorities with the pact's defensive terms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПрисоединится ли какая-либо страна к Мекканскому соглашению...?
$62,269 Объем

31 октября
15%

31 декабря
32%
$62,269 Объем

31 октября
15%

31 декабря
32%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, or Pakistan formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and any country reported to have joined; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The Mecca Joint Defence Agreement, signed on August 7, 2026, by Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan, establishes a collective defense framework under which an armed attack on one signatory is treated as an attack on all, with provisions for expanded military cooperation. Signatories have described the pact as open to additional participants, prompting diplomatic interest from several states. Bangladesh has publicly signaled a positive stance toward potential membership, while Egypt is reviewing participation amid existing regional commitments. Reports have also referenced possible interest from Gulf states such as Qatar and the UAE, as well as others including Iraq. No formal accessions have occurred in the three weeks since signing. Key variables for the December 31, 2026, resolution window include ongoing bilateral consultations, regional security dynamics, and any ministerial-level follow-up meetings that could advance negotiations. Trader assessments reflect uncertainty over timelines and the alignment of prospective members' foreign policy priorities with the pact's defensive terms.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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