Trader consensus around a 70.9% implied probability for “No” stems primarily from the short window left before December 31 and the pattern of state-level proposals stalling or facing vetoes despite widespread local moratoriums. Economic incentives tied to AI-driven demand for large language model training and inference capacity continue to outweigh regulatory pushback in most legislatures, with bills in Michigan, North Carolina, and others remaining in committee or dying without floor votes. New York’s executive pause on hyperscale permits and earlier vetoes in Maine and Vermont illustrate the political and procedural barriers, while governors prioritize grid reliability and job creation over blanket pauses. Few sessions remain active this fall, and any late-session action would need rapid passage and signature to meet the deadline, leaving traders focused on the low historical success rate for statewide restrictions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли какой-либо штат вводить мораторий на центры обработки данных к 31 декабря?
Будет ли какой-либо штат вводить мораторий на центры обработки данных к 31 декабря?
Да
33% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
33% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus around a 70.9% implied probability for “No” stems primarily from the short window left before December 31 and the pattern of state-level proposals stalling or facing vetoes despite widespread local moratoriums. Economic incentives tied to AI-driven demand for large language model training and inference capacity continue to outweigh regulatory pushback in most legislatures, with bills in Michigan, North Carolina, and others remaining in committee or dying without floor votes. New York’s executive pause on hyperscale permits and earlier vetoes in Maine and Vermont illustrate the political and procedural barriers, while governors prioritize grid reliability and job creation over blanket pauses. Few sessions remain active this fall, and any late-session action would need rapid passage and signature to meet the deadline, leaving traders focused on the low historical success rate for statewide restrictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ET
Объем
$9,322Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus around a 70.9% implied probability for “No” stems primarily from the short window left before December 31 and the pattern of state-level proposals stalling or facing vetoes despite widespread local moratoriums. Economic incentives tied to AI-driven demand for large language model training and inference capacity continue to outweigh regulatory pushback in most legislatures, with bills in Michigan, North Carolina, and others remaining in committee or dying without floor votes. New York’s executive pause on hyperscale permits and earlier vetoes in Maine and Vermont illustrate the political and procedural barriers, while governors prioritize grid reliability and job creation over blanket pauses. Few sessions remain active this fall, and any late-session action would need rapid passage and signature to meet the deadline, leaving traders focused on the low historical success rate for statewide restrictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$9,322Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus around a 70.9% implied probability for “No” stems primarily from the short window left before December 31 and the pattern of state-level proposals stalling or facing vetoes despite widespread local moratoriums. Economic incentives tied to AI-driven demand for large language model training and inference capacity continue to outweigh regulatory pushback in most legislatures, with bills in Michigan, North Carolina, and others remaining in committee or dying without floor votes. New York’s executive pause on hyperscale permits and earlier vetoes in Maine and Vermont illustrate the political and procedural barriers, while governors prioritize grid reliability and job creation over blanket pauses. Few sessions remain active this fall, and any late-session action would need rapid passage and signature to meet the deadline, leaving traders focused on the low historical success rate for statewide restrictions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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