Apple’s pursuit of CXMT DRAM faces steep regulatory and political barriers that underpin the market’s strong “No” consensus. The Chinese supplier sits on the Pentagon’s 1260H list of firms with alleged military ties, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration since June for assurances against Entity List placement while testing chips for China-market devices. Persistent AI-driven shortages have driven memory prices sharply higher, yet CXMT’s fabs operate near 95 percent utilization through 2027 with output largely committed to domestic customers. Lawmakers have publicly opposed any partnership, and Beijing’s priority on local supply further limits available capacity for Apple in 2026. These factors outweigh early validation efforts and CXMT’s growing 10 percent global DRAM share.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Apple покупать чипы памяти CXMT в 2026 году?
Будет ли Apple покупать чипы памяти CXMT в 2026 году?
Да
19% вероятность
$21,868 Объем
$21,868 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
19% вероятность
$21,868 Объем
$21,868 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple’s pursuit of CXMT DRAM faces steep regulatory and political barriers that underpin the market’s strong “No” consensus. The Chinese supplier sits on the Pentagon’s 1260H list of firms with alleged military ties, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration since June for assurances against Entity List placement while testing chips for China-market devices. Persistent AI-driven shortages have driven memory prices sharply higher, yet CXMT’s fabs operate near 95 percent utilization through 2027 with output largely committed to domestic customers. Lawmakers have publicly opposed any partnership, and Beijing’s priority on local supply further limits available capacity for Apple in 2026. These factors outweigh early validation efforts and CXMT’s growing 10 percent global DRAM share.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ET
Объем
$21,868Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Apple’s pursuit of CXMT DRAM faces steep regulatory and political barriers that underpin the market’s strong “No” consensus. The Chinese supplier sits on the Pentagon’s 1260H list of firms with alleged military ties, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration since June for assurances against Entity List placement while testing chips for China-market devices. Persistent AI-driven shortages have driven memory prices sharply higher, yet CXMT’s fabs operate near 95 percent utilization through 2027 with output largely committed to domestic customers. Lawmakers have publicly opposed any partnership, and Beijing’s priority on local supply further limits available capacity for Apple in 2026. These factors outweigh early validation efforts and CXMT’s growing 10 percent global DRAM share.
According to the Financial Times, Apple has sought U.S. government approval to purchase memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT). You can read more about that here: https://www.ft.com/content/d72a25e2-7bde-4aa9-bd8d-0c4f3d6cb2cb?syn-25a6b1a6=1.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple or an official representative of the company announces that it will use, purchase, or source memory chips from CXMT by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement made within this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether or when CXMT subsequently supplies Apple.
This market will also resolve to "Yes" if it is otherwise confirmed that Apple purchased, agreed to purchase, entered into a supply agreement for, or began sourcing any products or components from CXMT by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Apple and/or its official representative; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$21,868Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 1:20 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Apple’s pursuit of CXMT DRAM faces steep regulatory and political barriers that underpin the market’s strong “No” consensus. The Chinese supplier sits on the Pentagon’s 1260H list of firms with alleged military ties, prompting Apple to lobby the Trump administration since June for assurances against Entity List placement while testing chips for China-market devices. Persistent AI-driven shortages have driven memory prices sharply higher, yet CXMT’s fabs operate near 95 percent utilization through 2027 with output largely committed to domestic customers. Lawmakers have publicly opposed any partnership, and Beijing’s priority on local supply further limits available capacity for Apple in 2026. These factors outweigh early validation efforts and CXMT’s growing 10 percent global DRAM share.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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