Recent weaker-than-expected September US nonfarm payrolls of just 29,000, with downward revisions, have tempered expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening after the September 25-basis-point hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range. This data-driven shift weighed on the DXY, which traded near 101.9 after touching levels above 102 earlier in the period amid elevated Treasury yields and Middle East geopolitical risks supporting the currency. With the index up over 4% year-to-date, traders are monitoring the week’s ISM non-manufacturing PMI, FOMC minutes, and other releases for clues on the policy path ahead of the late-October meeting, while distinguishing confirmed labor-market softening from forward-looking inflation and rate projections.
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