Iranian lawmakers submitted formal proposals in parliament on August 21, 2026, to withdraw from the NPT and revise defense doctrine following U.S. strikes, citing violations of commitments and lack of benefits under the treaty. These moves build on earlier 2026 bills introduced after February strikes and IAEA access suspensions, yet they remain at the legislative stage without endorsement from supreme national security authorities for immediate action. Withdrawal under NPT Article X requires 90 days' notice tied to supreme national interests, a threshold not yet met amid ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts established in the June 2026 Islamabad MOU. Trader consensus at 89.6% against exit before 2027 reflects this gap between parliamentary pressure and the absence of confirmed executive steps, alongside Iran's continued public reaffirmations of NPT obligations during stalled talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыйдет ли Иран из ДНЯО до 2027 года?
Выйдет ли Иран из ДНЯО до 2027 года?
Да
10% вероятность
$383,244 Объем
$383,244 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
10% вероятность
$383,244 Объем
$383,244 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian lawmakers submitted formal proposals in parliament on August 21, 2026, to withdraw from the NPT and revise defense doctrine following U.S. strikes, citing violations of commitments and lack of benefits under the treaty. These moves build on earlier 2026 bills introduced after February strikes and IAEA access suspensions, yet they remain at the legislative stage without endorsement from supreme national security authorities for immediate action. Withdrawal under NPT Article X requires 90 days' notice tied to supreme national interests, a threshold not yet met amid ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts established in the June 2026 Islamabad MOU. Trader consensus at 89.6% against exit before 2027 reflects this gap between parliamentary pressure and the absence of confirmed executive steps, alongside Iran's continued public reaffirmations of NPT obligations during stalled talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Объем
$383,244Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian lawmakers submitted formal proposals in parliament on August 21, 2026, to withdraw from the NPT and revise defense doctrine following U.S. strikes, citing violations of commitments and lack of benefits under the treaty. These moves build on earlier 2026 bills introduced after February strikes and IAEA access suspensions, yet they remain at the legislative stage without endorsement from supreme national security authorities for immediate action. Withdrawal under NPT Article X requires 90 days' notice tied to supreme national interests, a threshold not yet met amid ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts established in the June 2026 Islamabad MOU. Trader consensus at 89.6% against exit before 2027 reflects this gap between parliamentary pressure and the absence of confirmed executive steps, alongside Iran's continued public reaffirmations of NPT obligations during stalled talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$383,244Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian lawmakers submitted formal proposals in parliament on August 21, 2026, to withdraw from the NPT and revise defense doctrine following U.S. strikes, citing violations of commitments and lack of benefits under the treaty. These moves build on earlier 2026 bills introduced after February strikes and IAEA access suspensions, yet they remain at the legislative stage without endorsement from supreme national security authorities for immediate action. Withdrawal under NPT Article X requires 90 days' notice tied to supreme national interests, a threshold not yet met amid ongoing U.S.-Iran diplomatic contacts established in the June 2026 Islamabad MOU. Trader consensus at 89.6% against exit before 2027 reflects this gap between parliamentary pressure and the absence of confirmed executive steps, alongside Iran's continued public reaffirmations of NPT obligations during stalled talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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