Iranian officials revived NPT withdrawal threats in late March 2026 after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, leading lawmakers to introduce fast-tracked legislation for exit, JCPOA repeal, and new partnerships with aligned states. No parliamentary vote or formal notification under Article X has followed, however, matching patterns of rhetorical escalation without action since 2004. Tehran continues IAEA safeguards at remaining facilities, submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference, and pursued diplomatic proposals amid ongoing tensions. These developments, combined with risks of greater isolation and loss of treaty-based legal standing for enrichment activities, underpin trader consensus that withdrawal remains unlikely before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыйдет ли Иран из ДНЯО до 2027 года?
Выйдет ли Иран из ДНЯО до 2027 года?
Да
$121,662 Объем
$121,662 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$121,662 Объем
$121,662 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials revived NPT withdrawal threats in late March 2026 after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, leading lawmakers to introduce fast-tracked legislation for exit, JCPOA repeal, and new partnerships with aligned states. No parliamentary vote or formal notification under Article X has followed, however, matching patterns of rhetorical escalation without action since 2004. Tehran continues IAEA safeguards at remaining facilities, submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference, and pursued diplomatic proposals amid ongoing tensions. These developments, combined with risks of greater isolation and loss of treaty-based legal standing for enrichment activities, underpin trader consensus that withdrawal remains unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ET
Объем
$121,662Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Iranian officials revived NPT withdrawal threats in late March 2026 after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, leading lawmakers to introduce fast-tracked legislation for exit, JCPOA repeal, and new partnerships with aligned states. No parliamentary vote or formal notification under Article X has followed, however, matching patterns of rhetorical escalation without action since 2004. Tehran continues IAEA safeguards at remaining facilities, submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference, and pursued diplomatic proposals amid ongoing tensions. These developments, combined with risks of greater isolation and loss of treaty-based legal standing for enrichment activities, underpin trader consensus that withdrawal remains unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.
The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$121,662Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials revived NPT withdrawal threats in late March 2026 after U.S. and Israeli strikes on nuclear sites, leading lawmakers to introduce fast-tracked legislation for exit, JCPOA repeal, and new partnerships with aligned states. No parliamentary vote or formal notification under Article X has followed, however, matching patterns of rhetorical escalation without action since 2004. Tehran continues IAEA safeguards at remaining facilities, submitted working papers for the 2026 NPT Review Conference, and pursued diplomatic proposals amid ongoing tensions. These developments, combined with risks of greater isolation and loss of treaty-based legal standing for enrichment activities, underpin trader consensus that withdrawal remains unlikely before 2027.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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