Ongoing hostilities in Ukraine and unified G7 sanctions targeting Russia's energy sector continue to block any path to readmission, as confirmed at the June 2026 summit where leaders reaffirmed support for Ukrainian sovereignty and territorial integrity while expanding restrictions. Other members have consistently rejected unilateral U.S. suggestions from early 2025 for Russia's return, citing unresolved annexation issues dating to 2014. Putin has also signaled limited interest. Trader consensus at 98.4% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and the short timeline remaining before 2027. A verified ceasefire with full territorial concessions and explicit G7 consensus could theoretically shift probabilities, though no such diplomatic breakthrough appears imminent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$53,393 Объем
$53,393 Объем
Да
$53,393 Объем
$53,393 Объем
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing hostilities in Ukraine and unified G7 sanctions targeting Russia's energy sector continue to block any path to readmission, as confirmed at the June 2026 summit where leaders reaffirmed support for Ukrainian sovereignty and territorial integrity while expanding restrictions. Other members have consistently rejected unilateral U.S. suggestions from early 2025 for Russia's return, citing unresolved annexation issues dating to 2014. Putin has also signaled limited interest. Trader consensus at 98.4% for "No" reflects these structural barriers and the short timeline remaining before 2027. A verified ceasefire with full territorial concessions and explicit G7 consensus could theoretically shift probabilities, though no such diplomatic breakthrough appears imminent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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