Russia's suspension from the G8 in 2014—reverting the group to G7 over the Crimea annexation—remains firmly in place amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, driving trader consensus to a 93% implied probability against readmission before 2027. President Putin stated in December 2025 that Russia has no interest in rejoining, dismissing the G7 as irrelevant, while G7 leaders' February 2026 statement reiterated demands for a Russian ceasefire and full withdrawal from Ukraine as prerequisites for any normalization. Recent G7 foreign and finance ministers' meetings, including October 2025 pledges to target Russia's shadow fleet and war economy, underscore unified sanctions and support for Kyiv, with no diplomatic signals of thaw despite isolated past suggestions like former U.S. President Trump's. Absent a major peace agreement or concessions, structural barriers persist through the December 2026 resolution deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
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Да
$14,775 Объем
$14,775 Объем
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russia's suspension from the G8 in 2014—reverting the group to G7 over the Crimea annexation—remains firmly in place amid the ongoing war in Ukraine, driving trader consensus to a 93% implied probability against readmission before 2027. President Putin stated in December 2025 that Russia has no interest in rejoining, dismissing the G7 as irrelevant, while G7 leaders' February 2026 statement reiterated demands for a Russian ceasefire and full withdrawal from Ukraine as prerequisites for any normalization. Recent G7 foreign and finance ministers' meetings, including October 2025 pledges to target Russia's shadow fleet and war economy, underscore unified sanctions and support for Kyiv, with no diplomatic signals of thaw despite isolated past suggestions like former U.S. President Trump's. Absent a major peace agreement or concessions, structural barriers persist through the December 2026 resolution deadline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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