Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Nithya Raman and another candidate, with his deficit widening as mail-in ballots were counted. Trump endorsed Pratt and alleged fraud without evidence, yet Pratt issued no formal challenge and instead posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort to “save” the city was ending while vowing continued attacks on the runoff contenders. This development aligned with the market’s implied probability of concession before mid-June remaining low and before July 1 sitting near even odds. Traders are monitoring whether Pratt issues an unambiguous concession statement or pursues further legal or public challenges ahead of the July 1 threshold, as any escalation or formal acceptance of results would directly shift resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоУступит ли Спенсер Пратт...?
Уступит ли Спенсер Пратт...?
$18,443 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
15 июня
26%
2 июля
50%
$18,443 Объем
15 июня
$10,429 Объем
26%
2 июля
$3,311 Объем
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Nithya Raman and another candidate, with his deficit widening as mail-in ballots were counted. Trump endorsed Pratt and alleged fraud without evidence, yet Pratt issued no formal challenge and instead posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort to “save” the city was ending while vowing continued attacks on the runoff contenders. This development aligned with the market’s implied probability of concession before mid-June remaining low and before July 1 sitting near even odds. Traders are monitoring whether Pratt issues an unambiguous concession statement or pursues further legal or public challenges ahead of the July 1 threshold, as any escalation or formal acceptance of results would directly shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Открытие рынка: Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
Объем
$18,443Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Nithya Raman and another candidate, with his deficit widening as mail-in ballots were counted. Trump endorsed Pratt and alleged fraud without evidence, yet Pratt issued no formal challenge and instead posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort to “save” the city was ending while vowing continued attacks on the runoff contenders. This development aligned with the market’s implied probability of concession before mid-June remaining low and before July 1 sitting near even odds. Traders are monitoring whether Pratt issues an unambiguous concession statement or pursues further legal or public challenges ahead of the July 1 threshold, as any escalation or formal acceptance of results would directly shift resolution odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.
Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.
Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Объем
$18,443Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 8, 2026, 1:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Spencer Pratt finished third in the June 2, 2026 Los Angeles mayoral primary behind Nithya Raman and another candidate, with his deficit widening as mail-in ballots were counted. Trump endorsed Pratt and alleged fraud without evidence, yet Pratt issued no formal challenge and instead posted a June 12 video stating the campaign phase of his effort to “save” the city was ending while vowing continued attacks on the runoff contenders. This development aligned with the market’s implied probability of concession before mid-June remaining low and before July 1 sitting near even odds. Traders are monitoring whether Pratt issues an unambiguous concession statement or pursues further legal or public challenges ahead of the July 1 threshold, as any escalation or formal acceptance of results would directly shift resolution odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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