The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
$22,328 Объем
$22,328 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
$22,328 Объем
$22,328 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Объем
$22,328Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Объем
$22,328Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained firm control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital and surrounding areas in March-May 2025, following a series of offensives that expelled Rapid Support Forces (RSF) units from central urban zones. As of mid-June 2026, front lines reflect a de facto partition, with the SAF dominating central and eastern regions while the RSF holds western strongholds in Darfur and parts of Kordofan. Ongoing hostilities center on drone strikes and peripheral clashes rather than coordinated RSF ground advances toward the capital, leaving insufficient time or positioning for a decisive push before the June 30 resolution date. Trader consensus at 99.4% reflects this established territorial reality and compressed timeline, though external arms flows or unexpected escalations in adjacent sectors could theoretically alter momentum in a narrow window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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