The Sudanese Armed Forces maintain firm control over Khartoum and surrounding central regions following their recapture of the capital in early 2025 and the government's full return there by January 2026. Recent developments, including ongoing SAF advances in Kordofan and Blue Nile states plus fresh RSF defections, have further entrenched this territorial split, with RSF forces largely confined to Darfur and western areas without any verified offensive posture directed at the capital. Traders assign near-certainty to a negative resolution because the six-week window offers no realistic path for RSF reversal of a year-long consolidation by SAF units around key sites like the airport and presidential palace. A sudden, large-scale RSF mobilization or major external intervention could theoretically alter the balance, yet current front-line dynamics and RSF setbacks make such shifts improbable before the June 30 cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЗахватят ли РНФ Хартум к 30 июня?
Захватят ли РНФ Хартум к 30 июня?
Да
$21,762 Объем
$21,762 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Да
$21,762 Объем
$21,762 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces maintain firm control over Khartoum and surrounding central regions following their recapture of the capital in early 2025 and the government's full return there by January 2026. Recent developments, including ongoing SAF advances in Kordofan and Blue Nile states plus fresh RSF defections, have further entrenched this territorial split, with RSF forces largely confined to Darfur and western areas without any verified offensive posture directed at the capital. Traders assign near-certainty to a negative resolution because the six-week window offers no realistic path for RSF reversal of a year-long consolidation by SAF units around key sites like the airport and presidential palace. A sudden, large-scale RSF mobilization or major external intervention could theoretically alter the balance, yet current front-line dynamics and RSF setbacks make such shifts improbable before the June 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Объем
$21,762Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.The Sudanese Armed Forces maintain firm control over Khartoum and surrounding central regions following their recapture of the capital in early 2025 and the government's full return there by January 2026. Recent developments, including ongoing SAF advances in Kordofan and Blue Nile states plus fresh RSF defections, have further entrenched this territorial split, with RSF forces largely confined to Darfur and western areas without any verified offensive posture directed at the capital. Traders assign near-certainty to a negative resolution because the six-week window offers no realistic path for RSF reversal of a year-long consolidation by SAF units around key sites like the airport and presidential palace. A sudden, large-scale RSF mobilization or major external intervention could theoretically alter the balance, yet current front-line dynamics and RSF setbacks make such shifts improbable before the June 30 cutoff.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Объем
$21,762Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Sudanese Armed Forces maintain firm control over Khartoum and surrounding central regions following their recapture of the capital in early 2025 and the government's full return there by January 2026. Recent developments, including ongoing SAF advances in Kordofan and Blue Nile states plus fresh RSF defections, have further entrenched this territorial split, with RSF forces largely confined to Darfur and western areas without any verified offensive posture directed at the capital. Traders assign near-certainty to a negative resolution because the six-week window offers no realistic path for RSF reversal of a year-long consolidation by SAF units around key sites like the airport and presidential palace. A sudden, large-scale RSF mobilization or major external intervention could theoretically alter the balance, yet current front-line dynamics and RSF setbacks make such shifts improbable before the June 30 cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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