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Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

icon for Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?

66% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
66% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House Energy and Commerce Committee advanced the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in May 2026 with a 48-1 vote as part of the Motor Vehicle Modernization Act, and floor consideration is scheduled for the week of July 13. Trader consensus favoring non-passage by July 17 reflects the bill’s repeated failure to clear the full House despite prior Senate action, including the 2022 unanimous Senate passage that stalled amid objections. Key barriers include opposition from figures such as Sen. Tom Cotton over winter sunrise timing and school safety, limited floor time in a compressed legislative calendar, and the measure’s attachment to unrelated legislation that could invite amendments or procedural delays. The version under consideration would permit state opt-outs, yet these factors sustain skepticism about timely House approval before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States.

Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$574
Дата окончания
17 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The House Energy and Commerce Committee advanced the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in May 2026 with a 48-1 vote as part of the Motor Vehicle Modernization Act, and floor consideration is scheduled for the week of July 13. Trader consensus favoring non-passage by July 17 reflects the bill’s repeated failure to clear the full House despite prior Senate action, including the 2022 unanimous Senate passage that stalled amid objections. Key barriers include opposition from figures such as Sen. Tom Cotton over winter sunrise timing and school safety, limited floor time in a compressed legislative calendar, and the measure’s attachment to unrelated legislation that could invite amendments or procedural delays. The version under consideration would permit state opt-outs, yet these factors sustain skepticism about timely House approval before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States.

Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$574
Дата окончания
17 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 11, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes the Sunshine Protection Act or other legally binding legislation that would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States by July 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying bill does not need to pass as a standalone bill or be titled exactly as above, but it must contain legally operative provisions that, if enacted, would end the twice-annual clock-switching in the United States. Non-binding resolutions, including simple or concurrent resolutions that merely express the sense of the House, recommend that states change their timekeeping policies, or otherwise call for an end to clock-switching without legally implementing such a change, will not qualify. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., https://www.congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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«Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 11, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

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Текущая вероятность для «Will the US House pass the Sunshine Protection Act by July 17?» составляет 66% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 66%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

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