Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran have accelerated in May 2026 following the February 28 launch of joint U.S.-Israeli military operations and the subsequent April ceasefire. Recent developments include U.S. proposals for sanctions relief and release of frozen assets in exchange for Iranian commitments to limit uranium enrichment and forgo nuclear weapons development, alongside phased easing of restrictions on Strait of Hormuz transit. Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that talks show progress toward satisfying core U.S. red lines on nuclear safeguards, while Iran has outlined conditions such as ending regional hostilities and lifting blockades. These efforts, including indirect channels and mediator involvement, reflect trader focus on de-escalation timelines rather than formal congressional war declarations, which historically require explicit authorization amid ongoing military restraint and economic pressure measures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудут ли США официально объявлять войну Ирану...?
Будут ли США официально объявлять войну Ирану...?
$7,523,538 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
7%
$7,523,538 Объем
31 декабря
$550,904 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran have accelerated in May 2026 following the February 28 launch of joint U.S.-Israeli military operations and the subsequent April ceasefire. Recent developments include U.S. proposals for sanctions relief and release of frozen assets in exchange for Iranian commitments to limit uranium enrichment and forgo nuclear weapons development, alongside phased easing of restrictions on Strait of Hormuz transit. Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that talks show progress toward satisfying core U.S. red lines on nuclear safeguards, while Iran has outlined conditions such as ending regional hostilities and lifting blockades. These efforts, including indirect channels and mediator involvement, reflect trader focus on de-escalation timelines rather than formal congressional war declarations, which historically require explicit authorization amid ongoing military restraint and economic pressure measures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Объем
$7,523,538Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran have accelerated in May 2026 following the February 28 launch of joint U.S.-Israeli military operations and the subsequent April ceasefire. Recent developments include U.S. proposals for sanctions relief and release of frozen assets in exchange for Iranian commitments to limit uranium enrichment and forgo nuclear weapons development, alongside phased easing of restrictions on Strait of Hormuz transit. Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that talks show progress toward satisfying core U.S. red lines on nuclear safeguards, while Iran has outlined conditions such as ending regional hostilities and lifting blockades. These efforts, including indirect channels and mediator involvement, reflect trader focus on de-escalation timelines rather than formal congressional war declarations, which historically require explicit authorization amid ongoing military restraint and economic pressure measures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$7,523,538Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic negotiations between the United States and Iran have accelerated in May 2026 following the February 28 launch of joint U.S.-Israeli military operations and the subsequent April ceasefire. Recent developments include U.S. proposals for sanctions relief and release of frozen assets in exchange for Iranian commitments to limit uranium enrichment and forgo nuclear weapons development, alongside phased easing of restrictions on Strait of Hormuz transit. Vice President JD Vance stated on May 13 that talks show progress toward satisfying core U.S. red lines on nuclear safeguards, while Iran has outlined conditions such as ending regional hostilities and lifting blockades. These efforts, including indirect channels and mediator involvement, reflect trader focus on de-escalation timelines rather than formal congressional war declarations, which historically require explicit authorization amid ongoing military restraint and economic pressure measures.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы