President Donald Trump's consistent pattern of personal attacks via Truth Social posts, rally speeches, and press exchanges continues to anchor trader consensus in daily insult markets, with Yes shares reflecting expectations of recurrence given his track record. In the past 48 hours, he publicly called a reporter a "dumb person" while defending White House ballroom expansions and mocked Texas Democrat James Talarico over claims of promoting "six genders" and veganism amid a GOP Senate runoff. No recent quiet periods have emerged despite diplomatic engagements like his China trip, reinforcing high implied probabilities. Traders monitor Truth Social activity, upcoming press gaggles, and rally appearances as key catalysts through late May resolution dates, where policy critiques without derogatory language would not qualify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$467,775 Объем
31 мая 2026 г.
May 15
85%
May 16
84%
May 17
88%
May 18
88%
May 19
86%
May 20
88%
May 21
88%
May 22
87%
May 23
88%
May 24
86%
May 25
87%
May 26
85%
May 27
85%
May 28
85%
May 29
85%
May 30
88%
May 31
86%
$467,775 Объем
May 15
$14,548 Объем
85%
May 16
$4,719 Объем
84%
May 17
$5,010 Объем
88%
May 18
$1,504 Объем
88%
May 19
$1,129 Объем
86%
May 20
$1,047 Объем
88%
May 21
$455 Объем
88%
May 22
$682 Объем
87%
May 23
$104 Объем
88%
May 24
$433 Объем
86%
May 25
$608 Объем
87%
May 26
$689 Объем
85%
May 27
$1,003 Объем
85%
May 28
$501 Объем
85%
May 29
$378 Объем
85%
May 30
$96 Объем
88%
May 31
$369 Объем
86%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's consistent pattern of personal attacks via Truth Social posts, rally speeches, and press exchanges continues to anchor trader consensus in daily insult markets, with Yes shares reflecting expectations of recurrence given his track record. In the past 48 hours, he publicly called a reporter a "dumb person" while defending White House ballroom expansions and mocked Texas Democrat James Talarico over claims of promoting "six genders" and veganism amid a GOP Senate runoff. No recent quiet periods have emerged despite diplomatic engagements like his China trip, reinforcing high implied probabilities. Traders monitor Truth Social activity, upcoming press gaggles, and rally appearances as key catalysts through late May resolution dates, where policy critiques without derogatory language would not qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Объем
$467,775Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's consistent pattern of personal attacks via Truth Social posts, rally speeches, and press exchanges continues to anchor trader consensus in daily insult markets, with Yes shares reflecting expectations of recurrence given his track record. In the past 48 hours, he publicly called a reporter a "dumb person" while defending White House ballroom expansions and mocked Texas Democrat James Talarico over claims of promoting "six genders" and veganism amid a GOP Senate runoff. No recent quiet periods have emerged despite diplomatic engagements like his China trip, reinforcing high implied probabilities. Traders monitor Truth Social activity, upcoming press gaggles, and rally appearances as key catalysts through late May resolution dates, where policy critiques without derogatory language would not qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$467,775Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's consistent pattern of personal attacks via Truth Social posts, rally speeches, and press exchanges continues to anchor trader consensus in daily insult markets, with Yes shares reflecting expectations of recurrence given his track record. In the past 48 hours, he publicly called a reporter a "dumb person" while defending White House ballroom expansions and mocked Texas Democrat James Talarico over claims of promoting "six genders" and veganism amid a GOP Senate runoff. No recent quiet periods have emerged despite diplomatic engagements like his China trip, reinforcing high implied probabilities. Traders monitor Truth Social activity, upcoming press gaggles, and rally appearances as key catalysts through late May resolution dates, where policy critiques without derogatory language would not qualify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы