Uzbekistan enters the 2026 FIFA World Cup as first-time qualifiers from Central Asia, drawn into Group K alongside Portugal, Colombia, and DR Congo. Their group-stage matches begin June 17 against Colombia, followed by Portugal and DR Congo, creating a steep challenge against established sides with superior depth and experience. Recent friendlies, including losses to Canada and the Netherlands, highlight gaps in match sharpness ahead of the expanded 48-team tournament. Trader consensus reflects these factors through elevated implied probabilities for early exit, tempered by the team’s strong AFC qualifying record and potential for points in a winnable fixture. No major roster injuries or late changes have shifted the outlook in the past week.