Spain and France lead the tightly bunched 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market as the two European powers with the strongest recent international pedigree and squad depth heading into the expanded 48-team tournament that opens June 11. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph under Luis de la Fuente, built on dynamic attacking play and emerging talents, underpins their narrow edge, while France’s enviable roster balance keeps them within striking distance. England’s consistent run to consecutive European finals supports their position just behind, with Portugal and Germany close enough to challenge on favorable draws. South American sides Argentina and Brazil remain realistic threats despite tougher qualification paths, but the concentration of top implied probabilities among a handful of European contenders reflects trader consensus on current form, historical knockout resilience, and the depth required to navigate a grueling group-plus-knockout schedule.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИспания 17.0%
Франция 16.1%
Англия 10.8%
Португалия 10.8%
$1,972,846,670 Объем
$1,972,846,670 Объем

Испания
17%

Франция
16%

Англия
11%

Португалия
11%

Аргентина
9%

Бразилия
9%

Германия
5%

Нидерланды
4%

Норвегия
2%

Бельгия
2%

Колумбия
2%

Япония
2%

Марокко
2%

Мексика
1%

Швейцария
1%

США
1%

Турция
1%

Уругвай
1%

Эквадор
1%

Хорватия
1%

Сенегал
1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Канада
<1%

Швеция
<1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Египет
<1%

Иран
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Босния и Герцеговина
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

ДР Конго
<1%

Чехия
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%

Панама
<1%

Ирак
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Катар
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Испания 17.0%
Франция 16.1%
Англия 10.8%
Португалия 10.8%
$1,972,846,670 Объем
$1,972,846,670 Объем

Испания
17%

Франция
16%

Англия
11%

Португалия
11%

Аргентина
9%

Бразилия
9%

Германия
5%

Нидерланды
4%

Норвегия
2%

Бельгия
2%

Колумбия
2%

Япония
2%

Марокко
2%

Мексика
1%

Швейцария
1%

США
1%

Турция
1%

Уругвай
1%

Эквадор
1%

Хорватия
1%

Сенегал
1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Канада
<1%

Швеция
<1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Египет
<1%

Иран
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Босния и Герцеговина
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

ДР Конго
<1%

Чехия
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%

Панама
<1%

Ирак
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Катар
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France lead the tightly bunched 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market as the two European powers with the strongest recent international pedigree and squad depth heading into the expanded 48-team tournament that opens June 11. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph under Luis de la Fuente, built on dynamic attacking play and emerging talents, underpins their narrow edge, while France’s enviable roster balance keeps them within striking distance. England’s consistent run to consecutive European finals supports their position just behind, with Portugal and Germany close enough to challenge on favorable draws. South American sides Argentina and Brazil remain realistic threats despite tougher qualification paths, but the concentration of top implied probabilities among a handful of European contenders reflects trader consensus on current form, historical knockout resilience, and the depth required to navigate a grueling group-plus-knockout schedule.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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