Trader consensus prices a 26% chance of another critical Cloudflare incident—defined as a red-classified outage on cloudflarestatus.com—by May 31, rising to 44% by June 30 and 78% by September 30, reflecting no qualifying disruptions in the past 90 days since the February 20 BYOIP configuration error that affected a customer subset for six hours. Cloudflare's post-mortems detail resilience upgrades like "Fail Small" following 2025 bot management and traffic anomalies, but recent minor issues including regional network congestion, API errors, and degraded Bot Management persist without escalating to critical. Datacenter maintenances in Warsaw, London, and Sydney through May 18 carry routine risks, while $17K volume underscores crowd wisdom on delayed but probable recurrence amid Cloudflare's scale.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnother critical Cloudflare incident by...?
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
$17,359 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
May 31
27%
June 30
44%
September 30
78%
$17,359 ปริมาณ
May 31
$7,882 ปริมาณ
27%
June 30
$5,749 ปริมาณ
44%
September 30
$3,728 ปริมาณ
78%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 26% chance of another critical Cloudflare incident—defined as a red-classified outage on cloudflarestatus.com—by May 31, rising to 44% by June 30 and 78% by September 30, reflecting no qualifying disruptions in the past 90 days since the February 20 BYOIP configuration error that affected a customer subset for six hours. Cloudflare's post-mortems detail resilience upgrades like "Fail Small" following 2025 bot management and traffic anomalies, but recent minor issues including regional network congestion, API errors, and degraded Bot Management persist without escalating to critical. Datacenter maintenances in Warsaw, London, and Sydney through May 18 carry routine risks, while $17K volume underscores crowd wisdom on delayed but probable recurrence amid Cloudflare's scale.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 3:16 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,359วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a 26% chance of another critical Cloudflare incident—defined as a red-classified outage on cloudflarestatus.com—by May 31, rising to 44% by June 30 and 78% by September 30, reflecting no qualifying disruptions in the past 90 days since the February 20 BYOIP configuration error that affected a customer subset for six hours. Cloudflare's post-mortems detail resilience upgrades like "Fail Small" following 2025 bot management and traffic anomalies, but recent minor issues including regional network congestion, API errors, and degraded Bot Management persist without escalating to critical. Datacenter maintenances in Warsaw, London, and Sydney through May 18 carry routine risks, while $17K volume underscores crowd wisdom on delayed but probable recurrence amid Cloudflare's scale.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,359วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 26% chance of another critical Cloudflare incident—defined as a red-classified outage on cloudflarestatus.com—by May 31, rising to 44% by June 30 and 78% by September 30, reflecting no qualifying disruptions in the past 90 days since the February 20 BYOIP configuration error that affected a customer subset for six hours. Cloudflare's post-mortems detail resilience upgrades like "Fail Small" following 2025 bot management and traffic anomalies, but recent minor issues including regional network congestion, API errors, and degraded Bot Management persist without escalating to critical. Datacenter maintenances in Warsaw, London, and Sydney through May 18 carry routine risks, while $17K volume underscores crowd wisdom on delayed but probable recurrence amid Cloudflare's scale.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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