Recent minor incidents on OpenAI's status page, including elevated error rates for GPT-5.5 file uploads on May 11 and Responses API issues on May 8-9, have kept trader consensus tightly split between two and three ChatGPT outage days. These brief, self-resolving events have not yet triggered full partial outages, supporting the narrow lead for two days at 37 percent implied probability while the 35 percent chance for three days reflects ongoing infrastructure strain from surging usage and model updates. Historical April volatility, with multiple incidents amid over 900 million weekly users, informs caution around the remaining weeks, though 99.8 percent ChatGPT uptime since February suggests scaling improvements could limit further disruptions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2 42%
3 31%
4+ 22%
<2 10%
$16,484 ปริมาณ
$16,484 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
<2
10%
2
34%
3
36%
4+
22%
2 42%
3 31%
4+ 22%
<2 10%
$16,484 ปริมาณ
$16,484 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
<2
$6,476 ปริมาณ
10%
2
$2,850 ปริมาณ
34%
3
$3,731 ปริมาณ
36%
4+
$3,427 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during May 2026 (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent minor incidents on OpenAI's status page, including elevated error rates for GPT-5.5 file uploads on May 11 and Responses API issues on May 8-9, have kept trader consensus tightly split between two and three ChatGPT outage days. These brief, self-resolving events have not yet triggered full partial outages, supporting the narrow lead for two days at 37 percent implied probability while the 35 percent chance for three days reflects ongoing infrastructure strain from surging usage and model updates. Historical April volatility, with multiple incidents amid over 900 million weekly users, informs caution around the remaining weeks, though 99.8 percent ChatGPT uptime since February suggests scaling improvements could limit further disruptions.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during May 2026 (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,484วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during May 2026 (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent minor incidents on OpenAI's status page, including elevated error rates for GPT-5.5 file uploads on May 11 and Responses API issues on May 8-9, have kept trader consensus tightly split between two and three ChatGPT outage days. These brief, self-resolving events have not yet triggered full partial outages, supporting the narrow lead for two days at 37 percent implied probability while the 35 percent chance for three days reflects ongoing infrastructure strain from surging usage and model updates. Historical April volatility, with multiple incidents amid over 900 million weekly users, informs caution around the remaining weeks, though 99.8 percent ChatGPT uptime since February suggests scaling improvements could limit further disruptions.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during May 2026 (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,484วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent minor incidents on OpenAI's status page, including elevated error rates for GPT-5.5 file uploads on May 11 and Responses API issues on May 8-9, have kept trader consensus tightly split between two and three ChatGPT outage days. These brief, self-resolving events have not yet triggered full partial outages, supporting the narrow lead for two days at 37 percent implied probability while the 35 percent chance for three days reflects ongoing infrastructure strain from surging usage and model updates. Historical April volatility, with multiple incidents amid over 900 million weekly users, informs caution around the remaining weeks, though 99.8 percent ChatGPT uptime since February suggests scaling improvements could limit further disruptions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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