OpenAI’s rapid launch and subsequent March 2026 shutdown of its Sora iOS app—a TikTok-style platform for sharing AI-generated video clips—has anchored trader skepticism that the company will deliver a full social network by year-end. The app’s quick fade amid user-engagement drops, deepfake safety issues, and content moderation backlash signaled a strategic pivot toward enterprise large language model tools rather than consumer-facing platforms. Earlier 2025 prototypes for an X-like feed and biometric verification features briefly lifted Yes odds above 50 percent, yet no follow-on announcements or developer milestones have materialized. Key swing factors include Sam Altman’s upcoming keynote appearances and any potential integration of social elements into existing GPT products, though competitive pressures from Meta and X’s AI features continue to favor the current No consensus at 61 percent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$52,006 ปริมาณ
$52,006 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$52,006 ปริมาณ
$52,006 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s rapid launch and subsequent March 2026 shutdown of its Sora iOS app—a TikTok-style platform for sharing AI-generated video clips—has anchored trader skepticism that the company will deliver a full social network by year-end. The app’s quick fade amid user-engagement drops, deepfake safety issues, and content moderation backlash signaled a strategic pivot toward enterprise large language model tools rather than consumer-facing platforms. Earlier 2025 prototypes for an X-like feed and biometric verification features briefly lifted Yes odds above 50 percent, yet no follow-on announcements or developer milestones have materialized. Key swing factors include Sam Altman’s upcoming keynote appearances and any potential integration of social elements into existing GPT products, though competitive pressures from Meta and X’s AI features continue to favor the current No consensus at 61 percent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,006วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s rapid launch and subsequent March 2026 shutdown of its Sora iOS app—a TikTok-style platform for sharing AI-generated video clips—has anchored trader skepticism that the company will deliver a full social network by year-end. The app’s quick fade amid user-engagement drops, deepfake safety issues, and content moderation backlash signaled a strategic pivot toward enterprise large language model tools rather than consumer-facing platforms. Earlier 2025 prototypes for an X-like feed and biometric verification features briefly lifted Yes odds above 50 percent, yet no follow-on announcements or developer milestones have materialized. Key swing factors include Sam Altman’s upcoming keynote appearances and any potential integration of social elements into existing GPT products, though competitive pressures from Meta and X’s AI features continue to favor the current No consensus at 61 percent.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
Social networks may qualify regardless of whether they are launched as a standalone platform or as social-network functionality integrated into another OpenAI product, provided that OpenAI clearly presents the product or feature as a social network or social platform, or similar.
Messaging or messenger-style applications solely designed for private one-to-one or small-group communication will not qualify for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$52,006วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 29, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s rapid launch and subsequent March 2026 shutdown of its Sora iOS app—a TikTok-style platform for sharing AI-generated video clips—has anchored trader skepticism that the company will deliver a full social network by year-end. The app’s quick fade amid user-engagement drops, deepfake safety issues, and content moderation backlash signaled a strategic pivot toward enterprise large language model tools rather than consumer-facing platforms. Earlier 2025 prototypes for an X-like feed and biometric verification features briefly lifted Yes odds above 50 percent, yet no follow-on announcements or developer milestones have materialized. Key swing factors include Sam Altman’s upcoming keynote appearances and any potential integration of social elements into existing GPT products, though competitive pressures from Meta and X’s AI features continue to favor the current No consensus at 61 percent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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