Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (88% implied probability), driven by explosive private valuations surpassing $900 billion in ongoing funding talks reported last week—potentially raising $30–50 billion—and pre-IPO secondary trading hitting $1.2–1.4 trillion on platforms like Jupiter, backed by $30–44 billion annualized revenue run rate from Claude large language model adoption in enterprise coding and AI services. Strategic compute partnerships with Amazon and Google, plus February's $380 billion round, underscore competitive positioning against OpenAI, fueling optimism for a Q4 2026 listing as early as October. The 10.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" odds reflect minor timeline risks amid no S-1 filing yet, though momentum suggests resolution well before expiry; lower brackets languish below 2% given valuation trajectory. Watch funding close by late May for sentiment shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว600B+ 88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 11%
400–600B 1.8%
300–400B <1%
$297,801 ปริมาณ
$297,801 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
<1%
100–200B
<1%
200–300B
<1%
300–400B
<1%
400–600B
2%
600B+
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
11%
600B+ 88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 11%
400–600B 1.8%
300–400B <1%
$297,801 ปริมาณ
$297,801 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
<100B
$138,181 ปริมาณ
<1%
100–200B
$53,667 ปริมาณ
<1%
200–300B
$8,864 ปริมาณ
<1%
300–400B
$60,093 ปริมาณ
<1%
400–600B
$9,125 ปริมาณ
2%
600B+
$15,215 ปริมาณ
88%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$12,657 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (88% implied probability), driven by explosive private valuations surpassing $900 billion in ongoing funding talks reported last week—potentially raising $30–50 billion—and pre-IPO secondary trading hitting $1.2–1.4 trillion on platforms like Jupiter, backed by $30–44 billion annualized revenue run rate from Claude large language model adoption in enterprise coding and AI services. Strategic compute partnerships with Amazon and Google, plus February's $380 billion round, underscore competitive positioning against OpenAI, fueling optimism for a Q4 2026 listing as early as October. The 10.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" odds reflect minor timeline risks amid no S-1 filing yet, though momentum suggests resolution well before expiry; lower brackets languish below 2% given valuation trajectory. Watch funding close by late May for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$297,801วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (88% implied probability), driven by explosive private valuations surpassing $900 billion in ongoing funding talks reported last week—potentially raising $30–50 billion—and pre-IPO secondary trading hitting $1.2–1.4 trillion on platforms like Jupiter, backed by $30–44 billion annualized revenue run rate from Claude large language model adoption in enterprise coding and AI services. Strategic compute partnerships with Amazon and Google, plus February's $380 billion round, underscore competitive positioning against OpenAI, fueling optimism for a Q4 2026 listing as early as October. The 10.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" odds reflect minor timeline risks amid no S-1 filing yet, though momentum suggests resolution well before expiry; lower brackets languish below 2% given valuation trajectory. Watch funding close by late May for sentiment shifts.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$297,801วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic achieving a closing IPO market cap exceeding $600 billion (88% implied probability), driven by explosive private valuations surpassing $900 billion in ongoing funding talks reported last week—potentially raising $30–50 billion—and pre-IPO secondary trading hitting $1.2–1.4 trillion on platforms like Jupiter, backed by $30–44 billion annualized revenue run rate from Claude large language model adoption in enterprise coding and AI services. Strategic compute partnerships with Amazon and Google, plus February's $380 billion round, underscore competitive positioning against OpenAI, fueling optimism for a Q4 2026 listing as early as October. The 10.5% "No IPO by December 31, 2027" odds reflect minor timeline risks amid no S-1 filing yet, though momentum suggests resolution well before expiry; lower brackets languish below 2% given valuation trajectory. Watch funding close by late May for sentiment shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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