SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion market cap after raising $75 billion anchors trader consensus at 57% implied probability for the largest 2026 debut, reflecting its scale relative to prior benchmarks and merger with xAI. Anthropic's 41.6% odds stem from its May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, accelerating revenue run-rate above $47 billion, and reported plans for an October listing that backers target above $2 trillion. xAI's 25.5% positioning ties to its integration into the SpaceX entity ahead of the public offering. Lower-probability names like OpenAI remain sidelined by confidential filings and more modest private valuations, underscoring how 2026 IPO market-implied odds hinge on realized pricing and capital raises in the final months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIPO ที่ใหญ่ที่สุดตามมูลค่าตลาดในปี 2026?
SpaceX 57%
Anthropic 41.6%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,428,929 ปริมาณ
$5,428,929 ปริมาณ

SpaceX
57%

Anthropic
42%

OpenAI
<1%

Discord
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Stripe
<1%

Kraken
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

Waymo
<1%

Revolut
<1%

Perplexity AI
<1%

Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 57%
Anthropic 41.6%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,428,929 ปริมาณ
$5,428,929 ปริมาณ

SpaceX
57%

Anthropic
42%

OpenAI
<1%

Discord
<1%

ByteDance
<1%

Stripe
<1%

Kraken
<1%

SHEIN
<1%

Waymo
<1%

Revolut
<1%

Perplexity AI
<1%

Databricks
<1%
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's completed June 2026 IPO at a $1.77 trillion market cap after raising $75 billion anchors trader consensus at 57% implied probability for the largest 2026 debut, reflecting its scale relative to prior benchmarks and merger with xAI. Anthropic's 41.6% odds stem from its May Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, accelerating revenue run-rate above $47 billion, and reported plans for an October listing that backers target above $2 trillion. xAI's 25.5% positioning ties to its integration into the SpaceX entity ahead of the public offering. Lower-probability names like OpenAI remain sidelined by confidential filings and more modest private valuations, underscoring how 2026 IPO market-implied odds hinge on realized pricing and capital raises in the final months.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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