Traders see SpaceX as the clear frontrunner for the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, with its 87.5% implied probability reflecting the company’s unmatched scale in reusable launch systems, Starlink satellite constellation growth, and overall private valuation momentum. xAI follows at 25.5% amid rapid large language model progress and funding rounds, yet trails significantly due to its smaller asset base compared with SpaceX’s established hardware and services revenue. Lower odds for Anthropic at 7.5% and OpenAI at 2.9% stem from earlier-stage commercialization timelines and regulatory scrutiny around AI safety and governance. Other candidates like Kraken and Discord sit near 1% or below, constrained by narrower market sizes and slower paths to multibillion-dollar exits. Recent capital raises and launch cadence updates continue to reinforce SpaceX’s lead while highlighting how product milestones and ecosystem scale shape trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSpaceX 88%
Anthropic 7.5%
OpenAI 2.9%
Kraken 1.0%
$1,862,540 ปริมาณ
$1,862,540 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
88%
Anthropic
8%
OpenAI
3%
Kraken
1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 88%
Anthropic 7.5%
OpenAI 2.9%
Kraken 1.0%
$1,862,540 ปริมาณ
$1,862,540 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$226,002 ปริมาณ
88%
Anthropic
$358,959 ปริมาณ
8%
OpenAI
$331,271 ปริมาณ
3%
Kraken
$385,288 ปริมาณ
1%
Discord
$80,991 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$98,750 ปริมาณ
<1%
Stripe
$50,778 ปริมาณ
<1%
SHEIN
$69,569 ปริมาณ
<1%
Waymo
$57,372 ปริมาณ
<1%
Revolut
$51,093 ปริมาณ
<1%
Perplexity AI
$67,637 ปริมาณ
<1%
Databricks
$84,831 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders see SpaceX as the clear frontrunner for the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, with its 87.5% implied probability reflecting the company’s unmatched scale in reusable launch systems, Starlink satellite constellation growth, and overall private valuation momentum. xAI follows at 25.5% amid rapid large language model progress and funding rounds, yet trails significantly due to its smaller asset base compared with SpaceX’s established hardware and services revenue. Lower odds for Anthropic at 7.5% and OpenAI at 2.9% stem from earlier-stage commercialization timelines and regulatory scrutiny around AI safety and governance. Other candidates like Kraken and Discord sit near 1% or below, constrained by narrower market sizes and slower paths to multibillion-dollar exits. Recent capital raises and launch cadence updates continue to reinforce SpaceX’s lead while highlighting how product milestones and ecosystem scale shape trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,862,540วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders see SpaceX as the clear frontrunner for the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, with its 87.5% implied probability reflecting the company’s unmatched scale in reusable launch systems, Starlink satellite constellation growth, and overall private valuation momentum. xAI follows at 25.5% amid rapid large language model progress and funding rounds, yet trails significantly due to its smaller asset base compared with SpaceX’s established hardware and services revenue. Lower odds for Anthropic at 7.5% and OpenAI at 2.9% stem from earlier-stage commercialization timelines and regulatory scrutiny around AI safety and governance. Other candidates like Kraken and Discord sit near 1% or below, constrained by narrower market sizes and slower paths to multibillion-dollar exits. Recent capital raises and launch cadence updates continue to reinforce SpaceX’s lead while highlighting how product milestones and ecosystem scale shape trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,862,540วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders see SpaceX as the clear frontrunner for the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, with its 87.5% implied probability reflecting the company’s unmatched scale in reusable launch systems, Starlink satellite constellation growth, and overall private valuation momentum. xAI follows at 25.5% amid rapid large language model progress and funding rounds, yet trails significantly due to its smaller asset base compared with SpaceX’s established hardware and services revenue. Lower odds for Anthropic at 7.5% and OpenAI at 2.9% stem from earlier-stage commercialization timelines and regulatory scrutiny around AI safety and governance. Other candidates like Kraken and Discord sit near 1% or below, constrained by narrower market sizes and slower paths to multibillion-dollar exits. Recent capital raises and launch cadence updates continue to reinforce SpaceX’s lead while highlighting how product milestones and ecosystem scale shape trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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