Anthropic’s planned October IPO, backed by recent Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation and investor targets exceeding $2 trillion, represents the primary driver behind its 43.5% market-implied odds, as rapid AI revenue growth supports the potential to surpass SpaceX’s June debut. SpaceX’s completed listing at roughly $1.77–2.2 trillion market cap, raising up to $75 billion in the largest IPO to date, anchors its leading 55% consensus through established scale in Starlink and launch operations, though the xAI merger earlier in 2026 complicates attribution of the combined entity. xAI’s 25.5% odds reflect residual standalone potential amid the integration. These probabilities aggregate trader capital at risk, pricing in execution risks around regulatory reviews, lockup expirations, and macroeconomic conditions affecting equity valuations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIPO ที่ใหญ่ที่สุดตามมูลค่าตลาดในปี 2026?
IPO ที่ใหญ่ที่สุดตามมูลค่าตลาดในปี 2026?
SpaceX 55%
Anthropic 43.5%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,413,074 ปริมาณ
$5,413,074 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
55%
Anthropic
44%
OpenAI
<1%
Discord
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Stripe
<1%
Kraken
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Waymo
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
Databricks
<1%
SpaceX 55%
Anthropic 43.5%
OpenAI <1%
Discord <1%
$5,413,074 ปริมาณ
$5,413,074 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$737,463 ปริมาณ
55%
Anthropic
$781,488 ปริมาณ
44%
OpenAI
$476,485 ปริมาณ
<1%
Discord
$176,728 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$208,392 ปริมาณ
<1%
Stripe
$128,177 ปริมาณ
<1%
Kraken
$655,953 ปริมาณ
<1%
SHEIN
$581,615 ปริมาณ
<1%
Waymo
$316,150 ปริมาณ
<1%
Revolut
$633,436 ปริมาณ
<1%
Perplexity AI
$104,136 ปริมาณ
<1%
Databricks
$613,053 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s planned October IPO, backed by recent Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation and investor targets exceeding $2 trillion, represents the primary driver behind its 43.5% market-implied odds, as rapid AI revenue growth supports the potential to surpass SpaceX’s June debut. SpaceX’s completed listing at roughly $1.77–2.2 trillion market cap, raising up to $75 billion in the largest IPO to date, anchors its leading 55% consensus through established scale in Starlink and launch operations, though the xAI merger earlier in 2026 complicates attribution of the combined entity. xAI’s 25.5% odds reflect residual standalone potential amid the integration. These probabilities aggregate trader capital at risk, pricing in execution risks around regulatory reviews, lockup expirations, and macroeconomic conditions affecting equity valuations.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,413,074วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s planned October IPO, backed by recent Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation and investor targets exceeding $2 trillion, represents the primary driver behind its 43.5% market-implied odds, as rapid AI revenue growth supports the potential to surpass SpaceX’s June debut. SpaceX’s completed listing at roughly $1.77–2.2 trillion market cap, raising up to $75 billion in the largest IPO to date, anchors its leading 55% consensus through established scale in Starlink and launch operations, though the xAI merger earlier in 2026 complicates attribution of the combined entity. xAI’s 25.5% odds reflect residual standalone potential amid the integration. These probabilities aggregate trader capital at risk, pricing in execution risks around regulatory reviews, lockup expirations, and macroeconomic conditions affecting equity valuations.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,413,074วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s planned October IPO, backed by recent Series H funding at a $965 billion post-money valuation and investor targets exceeding $2 trillion, represents the primary driver behind its 43.5% market-implied odds, as rapid AI revenue growth supports the potential to surpass SpaceX’s June debut. SpaceX’s completed listing at roughly $1.77–2.2 trillion market cap, raising up to $75 billion in the largest IPO to date, anchors its leading 55% consensus through established scale in Starlink and launch operations, though the xAI merger earlier in 2026 complicates attribution of the combined entity. xAI’s 25.5% odds reflect residual standalone potential amid the integration. These probabilities aggregate trader capital at risk, pricing in execution risks around regulatory reviews, lockup expirations, and macroeconomic conditions affecting equity valuations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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