Recent Starship test flights in 2026, including the successful July 24 Flight 13 that deployed 20 operational Starlink V3 satellites on a suborbital trajectory, have built momentum for the Block 3 vehicle while highlighting persistent challenges with Super Heavy booster recovery and regulatory approvals. The FAA's closure of the Flight 12 mishap investigation on August 28 cleared the path for Flight 14, now targeted for mid-September and intended as the first orbital attempt, yet the program's historically deliberate cadence—only two flights this year—suggests limited time remains for rapid scaling. Trader consensus reflects this tension between demonstrated progress in engine relights, heat shield performance, and payload integration versus the need for multiple successful orbital missions and FAA licenses to reach higher totals before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วในปี 2026 มีการเปิดตัวยานอวกาศ SpaceX Starship กี่ลำ?
ในปี 2026 มีการเปิดตัวยานอวกาศ SpaceX Starship กี่ลำ?
น้อยกว่า 5 46%
5-6 45%
7-8 2.6%
>16 2.4%
$505,161 ปริมาณ
$505,161 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
น้อยกว่า 5
46%
5-6
45%
7-8
3%
9-10
2%
11-12
2%
13-14
<1%
15-16
<1%
>16
2%
น้อยกว่า 5 46%
5-6 45%
7-8 2.6%
>16 2.4%
$505,161 ปริมาณ
$505,161 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
น้อยกว่า 5
$100,686 ปริมาณ
46%
5-6
$116,067 ปริมาณ
45%
7-8
$160,568 ปริมาณ
3%
9-10
$62,622 ปริมาณ
2%
11-12
$9,576 ปริมาณ
2%
13-14
$10,430 ปริมาณ
<1%
15-16
$31,330 ปริมาณ
<1%
>16
$13,882 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Starship test flights in 2026, including the successful July 24 Flight 13 that deployed 20 operational Starlink V3 satellites on a suborbital trajectory, have built momentum for the Block 3 vehicle while highlighting persistent challenges with Super Heavy booster recovery and regulatory approvals. The FAA's closure of the Flight 12 mishap investigation on August 28 cleared the path for Flight 14, now targeted for mid-September and intended as the first orbital attempt, yet the program's historically deliberate cadence—only two flights this year—suggests limited time remains for rapid scaling. Trader consensus reflects this tension between demonstrated progress in engine relights, heat shield performance, and payload integration versus the need for multiple successful orbital missions and FAA licenses to reach higher totals before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$505,161วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Starship test flights in 2026, including the successful July 24 Flight 13 that deployed 20 operational Starlink V3 satellites on a suborbital trajectory, have built momentum for the Block 3 vehicle while highlighting persistent challenges with Super Heavy booster recovery and regulatory approvals. The FAA's closure of the Flight 12 mishap investigation on August 28 cleared the path for Flight 14, now targeted for mid-September and intended as the first orbital attempt, yet the program's historically deliberate cadence—only two flights this year—suggests limited time remains for rapid scaling. Trader consensus reflects this tension between demonstrated progress in engine relights, heat shield performance, and payload integration versus the need for multiple successful orbital missions and FAA licenses to reach higher totals before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$505,161วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Starship test flights in 2026, including the successful July 24 Flight 13 that deployed 20 operational Starlink V3 satellites on a suborbital trajectory, have built momentum for the Block 3 vehicle while highlighting persistent challenges with Super Heavy booster recovery and regulatory approvals. The FAA's closure of the Flight 12 mishap investigation on August 28 cleared the path for Flight 14, now targeted for mid-September and intended as the first orbital attempt, yet the program's historically deliberate cadence—only two flights this year—suggests limited time remains for rapid scaling. Trader consensus reflects this tension between demonstrated progress in engine relights, heat shield performance, and payload integration versus the need for multiple successful orbital missions and FAA licenses to reach higher totals before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย