NASA's Sentry impact monitoring system shows no near-Earth objects on a collision course with Earth in 2026 capable of a 10-kiloton-or-larger airburst or strike, anchoring trader consensus at 83% for "No" on Polymarket. This reflects the rarity of such events—comparable to the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor at 440 kilotons, with none exceeding even 1 kiloton in early 2026 despite record fireball detections from enhanced planetary defense sensors. Recent close approaches, like house-sized 2026 GA2 in April and bus-sized 2026 EG1 in March, passed safely, while newly spotted 2026 JH2's May 18 flyby at 90,000 km carries zero impact risk per simulations. Traders eye ongoing NEO surveys for surprises, but historical precedents and comprehensive tracking sustain low-probability sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$153,436 ปริมาณ
$153,436 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$153,436 ปริมาณ
$153,436 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/. The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column. If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.NASA's Sentry impact monitoring system shows no near-Earth objects on a collision course with Earth in 2026 capable of a 10-kiloton-or-larger airburst or strike, anchoring trader consensus at 83% for "No" on Polymarket. This reflects the rarity of such events—comparable to the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor at 440 kilotons, with none exceeding even 1 kiloton in early 2026 despite record fireball detections from enhanced planetary defense sensors. Recent close approaches, like house-sized 2026 GA2 in April and bus-sized 2026 EG1 in March, passed safely, while newly spotted 2026 JH2's May 18 flyby at 90,000 km carries zero impact risk per simulations. Traders eye ongoing NEO surveys for surprises, but historical precedents and comprehensive tracking sustain low-probability sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/. The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column. If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/. The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column. If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 31, 2025, 1:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$153,436วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 31, 2025, 1:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/. The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column. If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.NASA's Sentry impact monitoring system shows no near-Earth objects on a collision course with Earth in 2026 capable of a 10-kiloton-or-larger airburst or strike, anchoring trader consensus at 83% for "No" on Polymarket. This reflects the rarity of such events—comparable to the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor at 440 kilotons, with none exceeding even 1 kiloton in early 2026 despite record fireball detections from enhanced planetary defense sensors. Recent close approaches, like house-sized 2026 GA2 in April and bus-sized 2026 EG1 in March, passed safely, while newly spotted 2026 JH2's May 18 flyby at 90,000 km carries zero impact risk per simulations. Traders eye ongoing NEO surveys for surprises, but historical precedents and comprehensive tracking sustain low-probability sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a natural meteoroid (bolide) explodes in Earth's atmosphere with a total impact energy greater than or equal to 10 kilotons of TNT equivalent between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/. The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column. If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.
The object must be classified as a natural meteoroid; events involving artificial objects or reentry vehicles do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository: https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/fireballs/. The relevant field for determining impact energy is the “Impact Energy (kt)” column. If this dataset has not been updated to include all relevant dates by February 28, 2027, or if the NASA JPL Fireball and Bolide Data repository becomes permanently unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible sources including the European Space Agency (ESA), the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN), the U.S. Department of Defense, or credible reporting of a scientific consensus, such as a NASA press release.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$153,436วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 31, 2025, 1:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...NASA's Sentry impact monitoring system shows no near-Earth objects on a collision course with Earth in 2026 capable of a 10-kiloton-or-larger airburst or strike, anchoring trader consensus at 83% for "No" on Polymarket. This reflects the rarity of such events—comparable to the 2013 Chelyabinsk meteor at 440 kilotons, with none exceeding even 1 kiloton in early 2026 despite record fireball detections from enhanced planetary defense sensors. Recent close approaches, like house-sized 2026 GA2 in April and bus-sized 2026 EG1 in March, passed safely, while newly spotted 2026 JH2's May 18 flyby at 90,000 km carries zero impact risk per simulations. Traders eye ongoing NEO surveys for surprises, but historical precedents and comprehensive tracking sustain low-probability sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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