Recent statements from OpenAI CEO Sam Altman on September 12, 2026, ruling out a 2026 IPO due to AI safety and alignment priorities have reinforced trader focus on a 2027 debut, anchoring expectations around the company's March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion and $1 trillion aspiration. With annualized revenue run rates estimated at $24–40 billion yet ongoing losses and secondary-market marks near $475 billion, the spread across $1.0T–$2.5T+ bins reflects uncertainty over revenue multiples, margin expansion, and broader market conditions at listing. Competitive dynamics with peers like Anthropic and infrastructure commitments further contribute to the balanced probabilities, as traders weigh growth trajectory against regulatory and operational risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.5%
$2.5T+ 16.2%
$1.25T–$1.5T 14.3%
$131,363 ปริมาณ
$131,363 ปริมาณ
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
14%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
8%
$2.5T+
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 18.5%
$2.5T+ 16.2%
$1.25T–$1.5T 14.3%
$131,363 ปริมาณ
$131,363 ปริมาณ
<$1T
6%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
14%
$1.5T–$1.75T
19%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
5%
$2.25T–$2.5T
8%
$2.5T+
16%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent statements from OpenAI CEO Sam Altman on September 12, 2026, ruling out a 2026 IPO due to AI safety and alignment priorities have reinforced trader focus on a 2027 debut, anchoring expectations around the company's March 2026 private valuation of $852 billion and $1 trillion aspiration. With annualized revenue run rates estimated at $24–40 billion yet ongoing losses and secondary-market marks near $475 billion, the spread across $1.0T–$2.5T+ bins reflects uncertainty over revenue multiples, margin expansion, and broader market conditions at listing. Competitive dynamics with peers like Anthropic and infrastructure commitments further contribute to the balanced probabilities, as traders weigh growth trajectory against regulatory and operational risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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