OpenAI's confidential IPO filing and record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026 anchor trader consensus around elevated closing market caps, with the 32.6% implied probability on a 1.5T+ outcome reflecting expectations for continued revenue expansion—now exceeding $2 billion monthly—and AI sector momentum. Analysts highlight strong enterprise adoption and compute investments from partners like Microsoft and NVIDIA as drivers that could support premium multiples upon listing, though the 9.5% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 underscores delays from profitability challenges and regulatory scrutiny. Recent shifts toward a potential 2027 debut versus earlier 2026 targets introduce valuation uncertainty across the 500B–1.5T+ brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1.5T+ 32.6%
1T–1.25T 20.7%
1.25T–1.5T 18%
750B–1T 12%
$84,258 ปริมาณ
$84,258 ปริมาณ
<500B
1%
500–750B
3%
750B–1T
12%
1T–1.25T
21%
1.25T–1.5T
18%
1.5T+
33%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
1.5T+ 32.6%
1T–1.25T 20.7%
1.25T–1.5T 18%
750B–1T 12%
$84,258 ปริมาณ
$84,258 ปริมาณ
<500B
1%
500–750B
3%
750B–1T
12%
1T–1.25T
21%
1.25T–1.5T
18%
1.5T+
33%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
10%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI's confidential IPO filing and record $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March 2026 anchor trader consensus around elevated closing market caps, with the 32.6% implied probability on a 1.5T+ outcome reflecting expectations for continued revenue expansion—now exceeding $2 billion monthly—and AI sector momentum. Analysts highlight strong enterprise adoption and compute investments from partners like Microsoft and NVIDIA as drivers that could support premium multiples upon listing, though the 9.5% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 underscores delays from profitability challenges and regulatory scrutiny. Recent shifts toward a potential 2027 debut versus earlier 2026 targets introduce valuation uncertainty across the 500B–1.5T+ brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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