Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 72% probability for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap surpassing $800 billion on its first trading day, anchored by the company's $852 billion post-money valuation from its record $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, alongside a $25 billion annualized revenue run-rate fueled by enterprise AI adoption and ChatGPT monetization. Probabilities taper to 60% above $1 trillion and 54% above $1.6 trillion, reflecting caution from late April Wall Street Journal reports highlighting missed revenue and user growth targets, plus CFO Sarah Friar's push to delay the targeted Q4 2026 IPO to 2027 amid $600 billion compute capital expenditure commitments. Traders await potential S-1 filing in H2 2026 or restructuring updates with Microsoft as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,488,574 ปริมาณ
$1,488,574 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
800 พันล้านดอลลาร์
72%
1 ล้านล้านเหรียญ
60%
1.2 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์
57%
1.4 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์
55%
1.6 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์
53%
$1,488,574 ปริมาณ
$1,488,574 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
800 พันล้านดอลลาร์
$95,679 ปริมาณ
72%
1 ล้านล้านเหรียญ
$1,041,440 ปริมาณ
60%
1.2 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์
$247,610 ปริมาณ
57%
1.4 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์
$59,613 ปริมาณ
55%
1.6 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์
$44,232 ปริมาณ
53%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 72% probability for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap surpassing $800 billion on its first trading day, anchored by the company's $852 billion post-money valuation from its record $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, alongside a $25 billion annualized revenue run-rate fueled by enterprise AI adoption and ChatGPT monetization. Probabilities taper to 60% above $1 trillion and 54% above $1.6 trillion, reflecting caution from late April Wall Street Journal reports highlighting missed revenue and user growth targets, plus CFO Sarah Friar's push to delay the targeted Q4 2026 IPO to 2027 amid $600 billion compute capital expenditure commitments. Traders await potential S-1 filing in H2 2026 or restructuring updates with Microsoft as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,574วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 72% probability for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap surpassing $800 billion on its first trading day, anchored by the company's $852 billion post-money valuation from its record $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, alongside a $25 billion annualized revenue run-rate fueled by enterprise AI adoption and ChatGPT monetization. Probabilities taper to 60% above $1 trillion and 54% above $1.6 trillion, reflecting caution from late April Wall Street Journal reports highlighting missed revenue and user growth targets, plus CFO Sarah Friar's push to delay the targeted Q4 2026 IPO to 2027 amid $600 billion compute capital expenditure commitments. Traders await potential S-1 filing in H2 2026 or restructuring updates with Microsoft as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,488,574วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 72% probability for OpenAI's IPO closing market cap surpassing $800 billion on its first trading day, anchored by the company's $852 billion post-money valuation from its record $122 billion funding round closed March 31, 2026, alongside a $25 billion annualized revenue run-rate fueled by enterprise AI adoption and ChatGPT monetization. Probabilities taper to 60% above $1 trillion and 54% above $1.6 trillion, reflecting caution from late April Wall Street Journal reports highlighting missed revenue and user growth targets, plus CFO Sarah Friar's push to delay the targeted Q4 2026 IPO to 2027 amid $600 billion compute capital expenditure commitments. Traders await potential S-1 filing in H2 2026 or restructuring updates with Microsoft as key catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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