The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive pause amid persistent inflation pressures. Yesterday's April CPI release showed a hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—coupled with a resilient labor market where unemployment held at 4.3% and 115,000 jobs were added. This has lifted CME FedWatch Tool implied probabilities for a rate hike, with markets now pricing around 37% odds of an increase before year-end versus near-zero for the June 16-17 meeting. Traders weigh upcoming PCE inflation data and employment reports as key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$148,079 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
2%
July Meeting
6%
September Meeting
18%
October Meeting
29%
$148,079 ปริมาณ
June Meeting
$14,493 ปริมาณ
2%
July Meeting
$770 ปริมาณ
6%
September Meeting
$54 ปริมาณ
18%
October Meeting
$1,454 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive pause amid persistent inflation pressures. Yesterday's April CPI release showed a hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—coupled with a resilient labor market where unemployment held at 4.3% and 115,000 jobs were added. This has lifted CME FedWatch Tool implied probabilities for a rate hike, with markets now pricing around 37% odds of an increase before year-end versus near-zero for the June 16-17 meeting. Traders weigh upcoming PCE inflation data and employment reports as key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$148,079วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive pause amid persistent inflation pressures. Yesterday's April CPI release showed a hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—coupled with a resilient labor market where unemployment held at 4.3% and 115,000 jobs were added. This has lifted CME FedWatch Tool implied probabilities for a rate hike, with markets now pricing around 37% odds of an increase before year-end versus near-zero for the June 16-17 meeting. Traders weigh upcoming PCE inflation data and employment reports as key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$148,079วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% in its April 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting, marking the third consecutive pause amid persistent inflation pressures. Yesterday's April CPI release showed a hotter-than-expected 3.8% year-over-year rise—the highest since May 2023—coupled with a resilient labor market where unemployment held at 4.3% and 115,000 jobs were added. This has lifted CME FedWatch Tool implied probabilities for a rate hike, with markets now pricing around 37% odds of an increase before year-end versus near-zero for the June 16-17 meeting. Traders weigh upcoming PCE inflation data and employment reports as key swing factors in this closely contested outlook.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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