Recent inflation data and a softer July jobs report have shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, with the current 3.50–3.75% target range under scrutiny ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. July CPI, due August 12, and subsequent releases will shape expectations, as markets via Fed funds futures assign roughly even odds to a 25-basis-point increase in September versus a hold. New Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on price stability, combined with three dissents favoring tighter policy at the July meeting, has elevated the implied probability of at least one hike by year-end. Supply-chain pressures and resilient growth further support hawkish repricing, while upcoming September and October decisions remain key swing catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$2,148,735 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
September Meeting
37%
October Meeting
49%
$2,148,735 ปริมาณ
September Meeting
$765,437 ปริมาณ
37%
October Meeting
$423,406 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation data and a softer July jobs report have shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, with the current 3.50–3.75% target range under scrutiny ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. July CPI, due August 12, and subsequent releases will shape expectations, as markets via Fed funds futures assign roughly even odds to a 25-basis-point increase in September versus a hold. New Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on price stability, combined with three dissents favoring tighter policy at the July meeting, has elevated the implied probability of at least one hike by year-end. Supply-chain pressures and resilient growth further support hawkish repricing, while upcoming September and October decisions remain key swing catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,148,735วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation data and a softer July jobs report have shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, with the current 3.50–3.75% target range under scrutiny ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. July CPI, due August 12, and subsequent releases will shape expectations, as markets via Fed funds futures assign roughly even odds to a 25-basis-point increase in September versus a hold. New Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on price stability, combined with three dissents favoring tighter policy at the July meeting, has elevated the implied probability of at least one hike by year-end. Supply-chain pressures and resilient growth further support hawkish repricing, while upcoming September and October decisions remain key swing catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,148,735วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation data and a softer July jobs report have shifted trader focus toward potential Federal Reserve rate hikes, with the current 3.50–3.75% target range under scrutiny ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC meeting. July CPI, due August 12, and subsequent releases will shape expectations, as markets via Fed funds futures assign roughly even odds to a 25-basis-point increase in September versus a hold. New Chair Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on price stability, combined with three dissents favoring tighter policy at the July meeting, has elevated the implied probability of at least one hike by year-end. Supply-chain pressures and resilient growth further support hawkish repricing, while upcoming September and October decisions remain key swing catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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