Polymarket traders price a 61% implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting unified sentiment for maintaining the federal funds rate near 3.6% amid hotter-than-expected April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year—driven by energy shocks from Iran tensions—and resilient nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs. This follows April's rare three-to-four dissents against dovish statement language hinting at cuts; reaccelerating inflation and stable labor conditions have aligned the committee's policy stance toward a neutral hold, reducing forward-guidance friction. Key swing factors include May CPI data due mid-June, with low odds on multiple dissents signaling trader consensus on the wisdom of crowds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
0 61%
1 34%
2 22%
4+ 4.6%
$13,798 ปริมาณ
$13,798 ปริมาณ
0
61%
1
22%
2
16%
3
8%
4+
5%
0 61%
1 34%
2 22%
4+ 4.6%
$13,798 ปริมาณ
$13,798 ปริมาณ
0
61%
1
22%
2
16%
3
8%
4+
5%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 61% implied probability of zero dissents at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting unified sentiment for maintaining the federal funds rate near 3.6% amid hotter-than-expected April CPI at 3.8% year-over-year—driven by energy shocks from Iran tensions—and resilient nonfarm payrolls adding 115,000 jobs. This follows April's rare three-to-four dissents against dovish statement language hinting at cuts; reaccelerating inflation and stable labor conditions have aligned the committee's policy stance toward a neutral hold, reducing forward-guidance friction. Key swing factors include May CPI data due mid-June, with low odds on multiple dissents signaling trader consensus on the wisdom of crowds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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