President Donald Trump’s repeated public threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his chairmanship expired on May 15, 2026, have driven trader positioning on this market. In an April 15 Fox Business interview, Trump stated he would fire Powell if the latter remained in his governor role until 2028, citing an ongoing Department of Justice criminal investigation into Fed headquarters renovations as justification. Powell, now serving as chair pro tempore pending Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh, has indicated he will stay until the probe concludes. This standoff introduces legal and political uncertainty around the Fed’s independence, with traders monitoring Warsh’s confirmation timeline and any escalation in the DOJ case as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$15,171 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
June 30
5%
December 31
18%
$15,171 ปริมาณ
June 30
$8,047 ปริมาณ
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December 31
$7,124 ปริมาณ
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s repeated public threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his chairmanship expired on May 15, 2026, have driven trader positioning on this market. In an April 15 Fox Business interview, Trump stated he would fire Powell if the latter remained in his governor role until 2028, citing an ongoing Department of Justice criminal investigation into Fed headquarters renovations as justification. Powell, now serving as chair pro tempore pending Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh, has indicated he will stay until the probe concludes. This standoff introduces legal and political uncertainty around the Fed’s independence, with traders monitoring Warsh’s confirmation timeline and any escalation in the DOJ case as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
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$15,171วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Donald Trump’s repeated public threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his chairmanship expired on May 15, 2026, have driven trader positioning on this market. In an April 15 Fox Business interview, Trump stated he would fire Powell if the latter remained in his governor role until 2028, citing an ongoing Department of Justice criminal investigation into Fed headquarters renovations as justification. Powell, now serving as chair pro tempore pending Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh, has indicated he will stay until the probe concludes. This standoff introduces legal and political uncertainty around the Fed’s independence, with traders monitoring Warsh’s confirmation timeline and any escalation in the DOJ case as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,171วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s repeated public threats to remove Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his chairmanship expired on May 15, 2026, have driven trader positioning on this market. In an April 15 Fox Business interview, Trump stated he would fire Powell if the latter remained in his governor role until 2028, citing an ongoing Department of Justice criminal investigation into Fed headquarters renovations as justification. Powell, now serving as chair pro tempore pending Senate confirmation of successor Kevin Warsh, has indicated he will stay until the probe concludes. This standoff introduces legal and political uncertainty around the Fed’s independence, with traders monitoring Warsh’s confirmation timeline and any escalation in the DOJ case as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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