Uncertainty around the January 2027 FOMC policy decision is driving the tight spread in dissent probabilities, with no single outcome exceeding 24 percent. Traders are pricing in a range of two to three dissents as the baseline, reflecting mixed signals on inflation persistence and labor-market cooling that leave room for both hawkish and dovish outliers among voting members. Recent economic releases, including the latest CPI prints and nonfarm payroll revisions, have kept the market-implied rate path fluid relative to official guidance, while forward-looking indicators such as Treasury yields and Fed funds futures highlight the narrow margin between a steady or modestly adjusted stance. Upcoming data on employment trends and any shifts in central-bank rhetoric ahead of year-end will likely determine whether consensus solidifies or fractures further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
3 24%
2 23%
1 21%
0 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 27, 2027
0
19%
1
21%
2
25%
3
24%
4+
18%
3 24%
2 23%
1 21%
0 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jan 27, 2027
0
$961 ปริมาณ
19%
1
$305 ปริมาณ
21%
2
$56 ปริมาณ
25%
3
$3,901 ปริมาณ
24%
4+
$185 ปริมาณ
18%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Uncertainty around the January 2027 FOMC policy decision is driving the tight spread in dissent probabilities, with no single outcome exceeding 24 percent. Traders are pricing in a range of two to three dissents as the baseline, reflecting mixed signals on inflation persistence and labor-market cooling that leave room for both hawkish and dovish outliers among voting members. Recent economic releases, including the latest CPI prints and nonfarm payroll revisions, have kept the market-implied rate path fluid relative to official guidance, while forward-looking indicators such as Treasury yields and Fed funds futures highlight the narrow margin between a steady or modestly adjusted stance. Upcoming data on employment trends and any shifts in central-bank rhetoric ahead of year-end will likely determine whether consensus solidifies or fractures further.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,408วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 27, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Uncertainty around the January 2027 FOMC policy decision is driving the tight spread in dissent probabilities, with no single outcome exceeding 24 percent. Traders are pricing in a range of two to three dissents as the baseline, reflecting mixed signals on inflation persistence and labor-market cooling that leave room for both hawkish and dovish outliers among voting members. Recent economic releases, including the latest CPI prints and nonfarm payroll revisions, have kept the market-implied rate path fluid relative to official guidance, while forward-looking indicators such as Treasury yields and Fed funds futures highlight the narrow margin between a steady or modestly adjusted stance. Upcoming data on employment trends and any shifts in central-bank rhetoric ahead of year-end will likely determine whether consensus solidifies or fractures further.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,408วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 27, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty around the January 2027 FOMC policy decision is driving the tight spread in dissent probabilities, with no single outcome exceeding 24 percent. Traders are pricing in a range of two to three dissents as the baseline, reflecting mixed signals on inflation persistence and labor-market cooling that leave room for both hawkish and dovish outliers among voting members. Recent economic releases, including the latest CPI prints and nonfarm payroll revisions, have kept the market-implied rate path fluid relative to official guidance, while forward-looking indicators such as Treasury yields and Fed funds futures highlight the narrow margin between a steady or modestly adjusted stance. Upcoming data on employment trends and any shifts in central-bank rhetoric ahead of year-end will likely determine whether consensus solidifies or fractures further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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