Recent Fed actions and projections position no change as the leading outcome for the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The central bank raised the federal funds rate 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00% on September 16, with the updated dot plot showing a median 4.1% endpoint for both 2026 and 2027 amid elevated inflation. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month to 3.4% year-over-year, while core CPI held at 2.4% and unemployment remained steady at 4.1%. Solid GDP growth, resilient labor market conditions, and Chair Warsh’s hawkish emphasis on returning inflation to target have shifted trader consensus toward policy restraint, though incoming data releases could still alter implied probabilities ahead of the January decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFed Decision in January?
Fed Decision in January?
No change 57%
25 bps increase 31%
25 bps decrease 9%
50+ bps decrease 4.5%
$83,691 ปริมาณ
$83,691 ปริมาณ
Jan 27, 2027
50+ bps decrease
5%
25 bps decrease
9%
No change
57%
25 bps increase
31%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 57%
25 bps increase 31%
25 bps decrease 9%
50+ bps decrease 4.5%
$83,691 ปริมาณ
$83,691 ปริมาณ
Jan 27, 2027
50+ bps decrease
$14,114 ปริมาณ
5%
25 bps decrease
$19,606 ปริมาณ
9%
No change
$21,742 ปริมาณ
57%
25 bps increase
$22,706 ปริมาณ
31%
50+ bps increase
$5,523 ปริมาณ
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Fed actions and projections position no change as the leading outcome for the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The central bank raised the federal funds rate 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00% on September 16, with the updated dot plot showing a median 4.1% endpoint for both 2026 and 2027 amid elevated inflation. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month to 3.4% year-over-year, while core CPI held at 2.4% and unemployment remained steady at 4.1%. Solid GDP growth, resilient labor market conditions, and Chair Warsh’s hawkish emphasis on returning inflation to target have shifted trader consensus toward policy restraint, though incoming data releases could still alter implied probabilities ahead of the January decision.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$83,691วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 27, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent Fed actions and projections position no change as the leading outcome for the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The central bank raised the federal funds rate 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00% on September 16, with the updated dot plot showing a median 4.1% endpoint for both 2026 and 2027 amid elevated inflation. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month to 3.4% year-over-year, while core CPI held at 2.4% and unemployment remained steady at 4.1%. Solid GDP growth, resilient labor market conditions, and Chair Warsh’s hawkish emphasis on returning inflation to target have shifted trader consensus toward policy restraint, though incoming data releases could still alter implied probabilities ahead of the January decision.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$83,691วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 27, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Fed actions and projections position no change as the leading outcome for the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The central bank raised the federal funds rate 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00% on September 16, with the updated dot plot showing a median 4.1% endpoint for both 2026 and 2027 amid elevated inflation. August CPI rose 0.4% month-over-month to 3.4% year-over-year, while core CPI held at 2.4% and unemployment remained steady at 4.1%. Solid GDP growth, resilient labor market conditions, and Chair Warsh’s hawkish emphasis on returning inflation to target have shifted trader consensus toward policy restraint, though incoming data releases could still alter implied probabilities ahead of the January decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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