The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$318,488 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
3%
$318,488 ปริมาณ
December 31, 2026
$2,043 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$318,488วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$318,488วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 28, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The April 2026 dismissal of the Department of Justice criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell—centered on headquarters renovation costs and congressional testimony—anchors the low market-implied probability of federal charges by year-end. A federal judge quashed related grand jury subpoenas for lack of evidence beyond policy disagreements, with no subsequent filings, inspector general referrals, or prosecutorial activity reported through mid-August. Powell’s transition from chair in May to a governor role through 2028 has further reduced exposure. While polarized political dynamics could theoretically prompt renewed scrutiny, the judicial record and probe closure create substantial barriers, reflected in trader consensus pricing near-certain resolution to no charges.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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