Recent acceleration in U.S. inflation, with the April 2026 consumer price index rising 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—has reinforced trader expectations for limited Federal Reserve easing through year-end 2026. This outcome, driven by energy price surges and resilient labor market conditions, positions the 3.75% federal funds rate as the leading market-implied outcome at 58.2%, consistent with the current 3.50%-3.75% target range and the FOMC’s March 2026 dot plot median projection near 3.4%. Market participants are pricing in a higher terminal rate amid sticky core inflation at 2.8%, tempering earlier cut forecasts. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and May CPI data, which could further clarify the monetary policy path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วอัตราดอกเบี้ยเฟดจะเป็นเท่าใดในตอนท้ายของปี 2026?
อัตราดอกเบี้ยเฟดจะเป็นเท่าใดในตอนท้ายของปี 2026?
3.75% 58.2%
4.0% 19.1%
3.25% 8%
3.5% 7%
$6,523,387 ปริมาณ
$6,523,387 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
≤1.0%
<1%
1.25
1%
1.5%
<1%
1.75%
1%
2.0%
<1%
2.25%
<1%
2.5%
1%
2.75%
1%
3.0%
4%
3.25%
8%
3.5%
7%
3.75%
58%
4.0%
17%
4.25%
4%
≥ 4.5%
1%
3.75% 58.2%
4.0% 19.1%
3.25% 8%
3.5% 7%
$6,523,387 ปริมาณ
$6,523,387 ปริมาณ
Dec 9, 2026
≤1.0%
$216,014 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.25
$134,363 ปริมาณ
1%
1.5%
$134,117 ปริมาณ
<1%
1.75%
$134,015 ปริมาณ
1%
2.0%
$246,025 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.25%
$70,849 ปริมาณ
<1%
2.5%
$158,852 ปริมาณ
1%
2.75%
$46,024 ปริมาณ
1%
3.0%
$454,736 ปริมาณ
4%
3.25%
$51,537 ปริมาณ
8%
3.5%
$190,202 ปริมาณ
7%
3.75%
$518,444 ปริมาณ
58%
4.0%
$1,358,628 ปริมาณ
17%
4.25%
$413,541 ปริมาณ
4%
≥ 4.5%
$2,396,040 ปริมาณ
1%
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).Recent acceleration in U.S. inflation, with the April 2026 consumer price index rising 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—has reinforced trader expectations for limited Federal Reserve easing through year-end 2026. This outcome, driven by energy price surges and resilient labor market conditions, positions the 3.75% federal funds rate as the leading market-implied outcome at 58.2%, consistent with the current 3.50%-3.75% target range and the FOMC’s March 2026 dot plot median projection near 3.4%. Market participants are pricing in a higher terminal rate amid sticky core inflation at 2.8%, tempering earlier cut forecasts. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and May CPI data, which could further clarify the monetary policy path.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,523,387วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).Recent acceleration in U.S. inflation, with the April 2026 consumer price index rising 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—has reinforced trader expectations for limited Federal Reserve easing through year-end 2026. This outcome, driven by energy price surges and resilient labor market conditions, positions the 3.75% federal funds rate as the leading market-implied outcome at 58.2%, consistent with the current 3.50%-3.75% target range and the FOMC’s March 2026 dot plot median projection near 3.4%. Market participants are pricing in a higher terminal rate amid sticky core inflation at 2.8%, tempering earlier cut forecasts. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and May CPI data, which could further clarify the monetary policy path.
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026.
This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time.
The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,523,387วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 12, 2026, 12:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent acceleration in U.S. inflation, with the April 2026 consumer price index rising 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—has reinforced trader expectations for limited Federal Reserve easing through year-end 2026. This outcome, driven by energy price surges and resilient labor market conditions, positions the 3.75% federal funds rate as the leading market-implied outcome at 58.2%, consistent with the current 3.50%-3.75% target range and the FOMC’s March 2026 dot plot median projection near 3.4%. Market participants are pricing in a higher terminal rate amid sticky core inflation at 2.8%, tempering earlier cut forecasts. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and May CPI data, which could further clarify the monetary policy path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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