The 10-year Treasury yield has recently traded near 4.63–4.70% as of mid-August 2026, with intraday peaks approaching 4.75% amid sticky inflation expectations above 4% and elevated term premiums. Upward pressure stems from Middle East geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices, persistent fiscal concerns over rising U.S. debt, and mixed economic data that have kept the Federal Reserve on hold while limiting near-term rate-cut expectations. Forecasts generally anticipate yields holding in a 4–4.75% range through year-end, though upside risks from hotter CPI or PPI prints, supply dynamics, or delayed policy easing could test higher levels before 2027 resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include monthly inflation releases and FOMC communications that will shape trader positioning on the peak yield.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$284,631 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
64%
5.0%
31%
5.2%
16%
5.5%
8%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
7%
$284,631 ปริมาณ
4.8%
$59,301 ปริมาณ
64%
5.0%
$81,007 ปริมาณ
31%
5.2%
$25,519 ปริมาณ
16%
5.5%
$5,230 ปริมาณ
8%
5.7%
$4,234 ปริมาณ
7%
6.0%
$3,054 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has recently traded near 4.63–4.70% as of mid-August 2026, with intraday peaks approaching 4.75% amid sticky inflation expectations above 4% and elevated term premiums. Upward pressure stems from Middle East geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices, persistent fiscal concerns over rising U.S. debt, and mixed economic data that have kept the Federal Reserve on hold while limiting near-term rate-cut expectations. Forecasts generally anticipate yields holding in a 4–4.75% range through year-end, though upside risks from hotter CPI or PPI prints, supply dynamics, or delayed policy easing could test higher levels before 2027 resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include monthly inflation releases and FOMC communications that will shape trader positioning on the peak yield.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$284,631วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has recently traded near 4.63–4.70% as of mid-August 2026, with intraday peaks approaching 4.75% amid sticky inflation expectations above 4% and elevated term premiums. Upward pressure stems from Middle East geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices, persistent fiscal concerns over rising U.S. debt, and mixed economic data that have kept the Federal Reserve on hold while limiting near-term rate-cut expectations. Forecasts generally anticipate yields holding in a 4–4.75% range through year-end, though upside risks from hotter CPI or PPI prints, supply dynamics, or delayed policy easing could test higher levels before 2027 resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include monthly inflation releases and FOMC communications that will shape trader positioning on the peak yield.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$284,631วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has recently traded near 4.63–4.70% as of mid-August 2026, with intraday peaks approaching 4.75% amid sticky inflation expectations above 4% and elevated term premiums. Upward pressure stems from Middle East geopolitical tensions boosting oil prices, persistent fiscal concerns over rising U.S. debt, and mixed economic data that have kept the Federal Reserve on hold while limiting near-term rate-cut expectations. Forecasts generally anticipate yields holding in a 4–4.75% range through year-end, though upside risks from hotter CPI or PPI prints, supply dynamics, or delayed policy easing could test higher levels before 2027 resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include monthly inflation releases and FOMC communications that will shape trader positioning on the peak yield.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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