Recent strength in U.S. economic data and persistent inflation have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.63–4.70% as of mid-August 2026, with intraday peaks near 4.75% earlier in the summer. Traders are pricing in reduced prospects for near-term Federal Reserve easing, reflecting sticky core PCE readings and resilient labor market conditions that have shifted market-implied rate paths higher. Elevated Treasury supply, concerns over fiscal deficits, and lingering energy price pressures from geopolitical developments further support higher long-term yields. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI and PCE releases plus the September FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether yields test new highs before year-end or stabilize near current levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$285,396 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
4.8%
64%
5.0%
32%
5.2%
16%
5.5%
8%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
7%
$285,396 ปริมาณ
4.8%
$59,301 ปริมาณ
64%
5.0%
$81,010 ปริมาณ
32%
5.2%
$25,825 ปริมาณ
16%
5.5%
$5,686 ปริมาณ
8%
5.7%
$4,234 ปริมาณ
7%
6.0%
$3,054 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent strength in U.S. economic data and persistent inflation have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.63–4.70% as of mid-August 2026, with intraday peaks near 4.75% earlier in the summer. Traders are pricing in reduced prospects for near-term Federal Reserve easing, reflecting sticky core PCE readings and resilient labor market conditions that have shifted market-implied rate paths higher. Elevated Treasury supply, concerns over fiscal deficits, and lingering energy price pressures from geopolitical developments further support higher long-term yields. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI and PCE releases plus the September FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether yields test new highs before year-end or stabilize near current levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$285,396วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent strength in U.S. economic data and persistent inflation have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.63–4.70% as of mid-August 2026, with intraday peaks near 4.75% earlier in the summer. Traders are pricing in reduced prospects for near-term Federal Reserve easing, reflecting sticky core PCE readings and resilient labor market conditions that have shifted market-implied rate paths higher. Elevated Treasury supply, concerns over fiscal deficits, and lingering energy price pressures from geopolitical developments further support higher long-term yields. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI and PCE releases plus the September FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether yields test new highs before year-end or stabilize near current levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$285,396วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent strength in U.S. economic data and persistent inflation have lifted the 10-year Treasury yield to around 4.63–4.70% as of mid-August 2026, with intraday peaks near 4.75% earlier in the summer. Traders are pricing in reduced prospects for near-term Federal Reserve easing, reflecting sticky core PCE readings and resilient labor market conditions that have shifted market-implied rate paths higher. Elevated Treasury supply, concerns over fiscal deficits, and lingering energy price pressures from geopolitical developments further support higher long-term yields. Key upcoming catalysts include August CPI and PCE releases plus the September FOMC meeting, which could clarify whether yields test new highs before year-end or stabilize near current levels.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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