Elevated inflation readings and a divided FOMC have anchored trader expectations for consecutive holds at the June, July, and September 2026 meetings. Headline CPI eased to 3.5% in June from 4.2% in May and is projected near 3.4% for July, yet remains well above the 2% target, while core measures continue a gradual decline. The July 29 decision to maintain the 3.50–3.75% federal funds range passed 9–3, with dissenters signaling upside inflation risks tied to energy prices. June dot-plot medians shifted higher, projecting a 3.75% year-end rate, and CME FedWatch currently assigns roughly even odds to a September hold versus a 25-basis-point hike. With unemployment at 4.1% in July and no immediate labor-market distress, markets price the three-pause path at 60.5% as the baseline, though incoming August CPI and September data could still alter the final outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause 63%
Other 38%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.4%
$717,665 ปริมาณ
$717,665 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
63%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Other
38%
Pause–Pause–Pause 63%
Other 38%
Pause–Pause–Cut 1.4%
$717,665 ปริมาณ
$717,665 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$286,408 ปริมาณ
63%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$67,223 ปริมาณ
1%
Other
$308,157 ปริมาณ
38%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation readings and a divided FOMC have anchored trader expectations for consecutive holds at the June, July, and September 2026 meetings. Headline CPI eased to 3.5% in June from 4.2% in May and is projected near 3.4% for July, yet remains well above the 2% target, while core measures continue a gradual decline. The July 29 decision to maintain the 3.50–3.75% federal funds range passed 9–3, with dissenters signaling upside inflation risks tied to energy prices. June dot-plot medians shifted higher, projecting a 3.75% year-end rate, and CME FedWatch currently assigns roughly even odds to a September hold versus a 25-basis-point hike. With unemployment at 4.1% in July and no immediate labor-market distress, markets price the three-pause path at 60.5% as the baseline, though incoming August CPI and September data could still alter the final outcome.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$717,665วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated inflation readings and a divided FOMC have anchored trader expectations for consecutive holds at the June, July, and September 2026 meetings. Headline CPI eased to 3.5% in June from 4.2% in May and is projected near 3.4% for July, yet remains well above the 2% target, while core measures continue a gradual decline. The July 29 decision to maintain the 3.50–3.75% federal funds range passed 9–3, with dissenters signaling upside inflation risks tied to energy prices. June dot-plot medians shifted higher, projecting a 3.75% year-end rate, and CME FedWatch currently assigns roughly even odds to a September hold versus a 25-basis-point hike. With unemployment at 4.1% in July and no immediate labor-market distress, markets price the three-pause path at 60.5% as the baseline, though incoming August CPI and September data could still alter the final outcome.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$717,665วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings and a divided FOMC have anchored trader expectations for consecutive holds at the June, July, and September 2026 meetings. Headline CPI eased to 3.5% in June from 4.2% in May and is projected near 3.4% for July, yet remains well above the 2% target, while core measures continue a gradual decline. The July 29 decision to maintain the 3.50–3.75% federal funds range passed 9–3, with dissenters signaling upside inflation risks tied to energy prices. June dot-plot medians shifted higher, projecting a 3.75% year-end rate, and CME FedWatch currently assigns roughly even odds to a September hold versus a 25-basis-point hike. With unemployment at 4.1% in July and no immediate labor-market distress, markets price the three-pause path at 60.5% as the baseline, though incoming August CPI and September data could still alter the final outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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