Recent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, including 4.1% headline PCE in May and core at 3.4%, combined with energy supply shocks tied to Middle East tensions, have anchored trader expectations for tighter policy. The July FOMC meeting’s 9-3 hold at the 3.50-3.75% range—with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase—plus Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks on August 28 reinforced the view that rates may need to rise to restore price stability amid solid growth and a stable labor market. CME FedWatch and prediction-market pricing now assign roughly 58% odds to a hike as the next move, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the data-dependent path ahead of the September 15-16 decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhat will be the next Fed rate change?
What will be the next Fed rate change?
Hike
59% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2028
Hike
59% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2028
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, including 4.1% headline PCE in May and core at 3.4%, combined with energy supply shocks tied to Middle East tensions, have anchored trader expectations for tighter policy. The July FOMC meeting’s 9-3 hold at the 3.50-3.75% range—with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase—plus Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks on August 28 reinforced the view that rates may need to rise to restore price stability amid solid growth and a stable labor market. CME FedWatch and prediction-market pricing now assign roughly 58% odds to a hike as the next move, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the data-dependent path ahead of the September 15-16 decision.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 14, 2026, 12:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,932วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmRecent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, including 4.1% headline PCE in May and core at 3.4%, combined with energy supply shocks tied to Middle East tensions, have anchored trader expectations for tighter policy. The July FOMC meeting’s 9-3 hold at the 3.50-3.75% range—with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase—plus Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks on August 28 reinforced the view that rates may need to rise to restore price stability amid solid growth and a stable labor market. CME FedWatch and prediction-market pricing now assign roughly 58% odds to a hike as the next move, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the data-dependent path ahead of the September 15-16 decision.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve to “Hike” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that increases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
This market will resolve to “Cut” if the first FOMC decision to change the upper bound of the target federal funds rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET is one that decreases the specified rate compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the FOMC announces no decision changing the specified rate between market creation and December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “50-50”.
Any decision changing the specified rate within the specified timeframe, including emergency and non-scheduled decisions, will qualify.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,932วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 14, 2026, 12:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation readings above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, including 4.1% headline PCE in May and core at 3.4%, combined with energy supply shocks tied to Middle East tensions, have anchored trader expectations for tighter policy. The July FOMC meeting’s 9-3 hold at the 3.50-3.75% range—with three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point increase—plus Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole remarks on August 28 reinforced the view that rates may need to rise to restore price stability amid solid growth and a stable labor market. CME FedWatch and prediction-market pricing now assign roughly 58% odds to a hike as the next move, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on the data-dependent path ahead of the September 15-16 decision.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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