Recent inflation readings, including July CPI and wholesale data, have kept the 10-year Treasury yield anchored near 4.63-4.70 percent amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its patient stance on policy rates. Sticky price pressures and resilient economic growth have limited downside moves in yields despite periodic dips on softer data, while oil price volatility and labor market trends remain key swing factors. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the narrow window through year-end 2026, with upcoming CPI releases and any FOMC communications likely to drive near-term volatility around the 4.5 percent threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$225,059 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
12%
3.8%
5%
3.7%
3%
3.6%
6%
3.5%
1%
3.0%
3%
2.0%
2%
1.0%
2%
$225,059 ปริมาณ
3.9%
$44,197 ปริมาณ
12%
3.8%
$41,312 ปริมาณ
5%
3.7%
$27,333 ปริมาณ
3%
3.6%
$5,537 ปริมาณ
6%
3.5%
$32,936 ปริมาณ
1%
3.0%
$901 ปริมาณ
3%
2.0%
$514 ปริมาณ
2%
1.0%
$40,570 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent inflation readings, including July CPI and wholesale data, have kept the 10-year Treasury yield anchored near 4.63-4.70 percent amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its patient stance on policy rates. Sticky price pressures and resilient economic growth have limited downside moves in yields despite periodic dips on softer data, while oil price volatility and labor market trends remain key swing factors. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the narrow window through year-end 2026, with upcoming CPI releases and any FOMC communications likely to drive near-term volatility around the 4.5 percent threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$225,059วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent inflation readings, including July CPI and wholesale data, have kept the 10-year Treasury yield anchored near 4.63-4.70 percent amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its patient stance on policy rates. Sticky price pressures and resilient economic growth have limited downside moves in yields despite periodic dips on softer data, while oil price volatility and labor market trends remain key swing factors. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the narrow window through year-end 2026, with upcoming CPI releases and any FOMC communications likely to drive near-term volatility around the 4.5 percent threshold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$225,059วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation readings, including July CPI and wholesale data, have kept the 10-year Treasury yield anchored near 4.63-4.70 percent amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain its patient stance on policy rates. Sticky price pressures and resilient economic growth have limited downside moves in yields despite periodic dips on softer data, while oil price volatility and labor market trends remain key swing factors. Market-implied odds reflect trader focus on the narrow window through year-end 2026, with upcoming CPI releases and any FOMC communications likely to drive near-term volatility around the 4.5 percent threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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