Persistent above-target inflation, with core PCE at 3.3% as of June 2026, combined with a firm labor market and geopolitical energy-price pressures, has anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% and kept the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.63% as of August 13. Trader consensus on the lowest yield before 2027 reflects limited scope for aggressive easing unless incoming CPI or employment data signal a sharper slowdown. Fiscal concerns and elevated term premiums continue to support higher long-term rates, while upcoming FOMC meetings and August–September inflation releases represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift market-implied odds for deeper yield compression.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$225,059 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3.9%
12%
3.8%
5%
3.7%
3%
3.6%
6%
3.5%
4%
3.0%
2%
2.0%
2%
1.0%
2%
$225,059 ปริมาณ
3.9%
$44,197 ปริมาณ
12%
3.8%
$41,312 ปริมาณ
5%
3.7%
$27,333 ปริมาณ
3%
3.6%
$5,537 ปริมาณ
6%
3.5%
$32,936 ปริมาณ
4%
3.0%
$901 ปริมาณ
2%
2.0%
$514 ปริมาณ
2%
1.0%
$40,570 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent above-target inflation, with core PCE at 3.3% as of June 2026, combined with a firm labor market and geopolitical energy-price pressures, has anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% and kept the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.63% as of August 13. Trader consensus on the lowest yield before 2027 reflects limited scope for aggressive easing unless incoming CPI or employment data signal a sharper slowdown. Fiscal concerns and elevated term premiums continue to support higher long-term rates, while upcoming FOMC meetings and August–September inflation releases represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift market-implied odds for deeper yield compression.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$225,059วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent above-target inflation, with core PCE at 3.3% as of June 2026, combined with a firm labor market and geopolitical energy-price pressures, has anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% and kept the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.63% as of August 13. Trader consensus on the lowest yield before 2027 reflects limited scope for aggressive easing unless incoming CPI or employment data signal a sharper slowdown. Fiscal concerns and elevated term premiums continue to support higher long-term rates, while upcoming FOMC meetings and August–September inflation releases represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift market-implied odds for deeper yield compression.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$225,059วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent above-target inflation, with core PCE at 3.3% as of June 2026, combined with a firm labor market and geopolitical energy-price pressures, has anchored the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% and kept the 10-year Treasury yield near 4.63% as of August 13. Trader consensus on the lowest yield before 2027 reflects limited scope for aggressive easing unless incoming CPI or employment data signal a sharper slowdown. Fiscal concerns and elevated term premiums continue to support higher long-term rates, while upcoming FOMC meetings and August–September inflation releases represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift market-implied odds for deeper yield compression.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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