Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 98.7% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window, as he confirmed on April 29 he will step aside while remaining a Board of Governors member until at least January 2028. The Senate's May 13 confirmation of President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor has solidified the transition, aligning with Fed statutes mandating fixed four-year chair terms and historical precedents for orderly handoffs amid policy shifts. Realistic challenges include unforeseen legal disputes over removal for cause or procedural delays in Warsh's swearing-in, though these face high institutional barriers given the term's endpoint.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 98.6%
May 30–June 5 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
June 20–26 <1%
$122,802 ปริมาณ
$122,802 ปริมาณ
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
99%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
1%
June 13–19
1%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
<1%
May 15–22 98.6%
May 30–June 5 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
June 20–26 <1%
$122,802 ปริมาณ
$122,802 ปริมาณ
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
$32,044 ปริมาณ
99%
May 23–29
$6,325 ปริมาณ
1%
May 30–June 5
$5,938 ปริมาณ
1%
June 6–12
$7,136 ปริมาณ
1%
June 13–19
$6,713 ปริมาณ
1%
June 20–26
$9,622 ปริมาณ
1%
June 27–July 3
$3,216 ปริมาณ
<1%
After July 3
$14,856 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 98.7% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window, as he confirmed on April 29 he will step aside while remaining a Board of Governors member until at least January 2028. The Senate's May 13 confirmation of President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor has solidified the transition, aligning with Fed statutes mandating fixed four-year chair terms and historical precedents for orderly handoffs amid policy shifts. Realistic challenges include unforeseen legal disputes over removal for cause or procedural delays in Warsh's swearing-in, though these face high institutional barriers given the term's endpoint.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$122,802วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 98.7% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window, as he confirmed on April 29 he will step aside while remaining a Board of Governors member until at least January 2028. The Senate's May 13 confirmation of President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor has solidified the transition, aligning with Fed statutes mandating fixed four-year chair terms and historical precedents for orderly handoffs amid policy shifts. Realistic challenges include unforeseen legal disputes over removal for cause or procedural delays in Warsh's swearing-in, though these face high institutional barriers given the term's endpoint.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$122,802วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 98.7% odds of his departure in the May 15–22 window, as he confirmed on April 29 he will step aside while remaining a Board of Governors member until at least January 2028. The Senate's May 13 confirmation of President Trump's nominee Kevin Warsh as successor has solidified the transition, aligning with Fed statutes mandating fixed four-year chair terms and historical precedents for orderly handoffs amid policy shifts. Realistic challenges include unforeseen legal disputes over removal for cause or procedural delays in Warsh's swearing-in, though these face high institutional barriers given the term's endpoint.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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