The Fed's unanimous September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4% target range, its first since 2023, combined with the hawkish Summary of Economic Projections, underpins the 83.5% market-implied probability of another increase this year. Sixteen of 18 officials projected at least one more 25-basis-point move by year-end, citing resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, a low 4.1% unemployment rate, and persistently elevated PCE inflation at 3.7% with upside risks from geopolitical factors. This shifts the policy path higher for longer relative to prior guidance, though the committee sees rates holding steady into 2027. Key near-term catalysts include October and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment data that could reinforce or temper tightening expectations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
84% โอกาส
ใหม่
$45,309 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$45,309 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
84% โอกาส
ใหม่
$45,309 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$45,309 ปริมาณ
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Fed's unanimous September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4% target range, its first since 2023, combined with the hawkish Summary of Economic Projections, underpins the 83.5% market-implied probability of another increase this year. Sixteen of 18 officials projected at least one more 25-basis-point move by year-end, citing resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, a low 4.1% unemployment rate, and persistently elevated PCE inflation at 3.7% with upside risks from geopolitical factors. This shifts the policy path higher for longer relative to prior guidance, though the committee sees rates holding steady into 2027. Key near-term catalysts include October and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment data that could reinforce or temper tightening expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,309วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Fed's unanimous September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4% target range, its first since 2023, combined with the hawkish Summary of Economic Projections, underpins the 83.5% market-implied probability of another increase this year. Sixteen of 18 officials projected at least one more 25-basis-point move by year-end, citing resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, a low 4.1% unemployment rate, and persistently elevated PCE inflation at 3.7% with upside risks from geopolitical factors. This shifts the policy path higher for longer relative to prior guidance, though the committee sees rates holding steady into 2027. Key near-term catalysts include October and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment data that could reinforce or temper tightening expectations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,309วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The Fed's unanimous September 2026 rate hike to a 3.75-4% target range, its first since 2023, combined with the hawkish Summary of Economic Projections, underpins the 83.5% market-implied probability of another increase this year. Sixteen of 18 officials projected at least one more 25-basis-point move by year-end, citing resilient GDP growth near 2.3%, a low 4.1% unemployment rate, and persistently elevated PCE inflation at 3.7% with upside risks from geopolitical factors. This shifts the policy path higher for longer relative to prior guidance, though the committee sees rates holding steady into 2027. Key near-term catalysts include October and December FOMC meetings plus upcoming CPI and employment data that could reinforce or temper tightening expectations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย