Jerome Powell’s confirmed commitment to serve out his Federal Reserve Board of Governors term through January 2028 after stepping down as chair in May 2026 has solidified trader consensus around the low probability of an AI company move this year. Recent statements show him addressing artificial intelligence’s effects on productivity and labor markets in his official capacity, without any reported recruitment, compensation talks, or leaks suggesting a shift to labs such as OpenAI, Anthropic, or xAI. His focus on institutional independence amid ongoing political pressures further reduces near-term departure risk. Potential catalysts include any early board exit announcement or credible private-sector overtures, though current skin-in-the-game odds treat continued public service as the baseline scenario.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว7% โอกาส
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Dec 31, 2026
7% โอกาส
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Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s confirmed commitment to serve out his Federal Reserve Board of Governors term through January 2028 after stepping down as chair in May 2026 has solidified trader consensus around the low probability of an AI company move this year. Recent statements show him addressing artificial intelligence’s effects on productivity and labor markets in his official capacity, without any reported recruitment, compensation talks, or leaks suggesting a shift to labs such as OpenAI, Anthropic, or xAI. His focus on institutional independence amid ongoing political pressures further reduces near-term departure risk. Potential catalysts include any early board exit announcement or credible private-sector overtures, though current skin-in-the-game odds treat continued public service as the baseline scenario.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$444วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s confirmed commitment to serve out his Federal Reserve Board of Governors term through January 2028 after stepping down as chair in May 2026 has solidified trader consensus around the low probability of an AI company move this year. Recent statements show him addressing artificial intelligence’s effects on productivity and labor markets in his official capacity, without any reported recruitment, compensation talks, or leaks suggesting a shift to labs such as OpenAI, Anthropic, or xAI. His focus on institutional independence amid ongoing political pressures further reduces near-term departure risk. Potential catalysts include any early board exit announcement or credible private-sector overtures, though current skin-in-the-game odds treat continued public service as the baseline scenario.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of a qualifying AI company by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying AI company is any organization that develops general-purpose artificial intelligence models, including, but not limited to, Anthropic, Google, OpenAI, xAI, and Meta.
Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at a qualifying AI company, including membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of a qualifying AI company will also qualify.
Merely investing in a qualifying AI company, entering into a commercial or research partnership, informally advising, working for an independent organization that collaborates with or providing services to a qualifying company will not qualify unless Jerome Powell also accepts or begins a formal role within the company’s corporate or governance structure.
An official announcement that Jerome Powell has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the qualifying AI company, the relevant governance body, or Jerome Powell; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$444วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 6:22 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s confirmed commitment to serve out his Federal Reserve Board of Governors term through January 2028 after stepping down as chair in May 2026 has solidified trader consensus around the low probability of an AI company move this year. Recent statements show him addressing artificial intelligence’s effects on productivity and labor markets in his official capacity, without any reported recruitment, compensation talks, or leaks suggesting a shift to labs such as OpenAI, Anthropic, or xAI. His focus on institutional independence amid ongoing political pressures further reduces near-term departure risk. Potential catalysts include any early board exit announcement or credible private-sector overtures, though current skin-in-the-game odds treat continued public service as the baseline scenario.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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