Anthropic’s recent release of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 has driven its commanding market-implied lead, as the model tops independent leaderboards like BenchAlign v5 with scores around 84.8, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at 82.9 and other frontier large language models. It leads across coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, agentic evaluations, and reasoning tasks, reflecting stronger demonstrated capabilities in knowledge work and tool use than competitors’ September updates. Ongoing AI safety coordination among top labs adds stability to expectations, while the short timeline to year-end limits major shifts. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s consistent benchmark edge and release cadence most heavily in current odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 72%
OpenAI 12%
Google 10%
xAI 3.7%
$1,256,185 ปริมาณ
$1,256,185 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Anthropic
72%
OpenAI
12%
10%
xAI
4%
Meta
2%
DeepSeek
1%
Moonshot
1%
Alibaba
1%
Z.ai
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 72%
OpenAI 12%
Google 10%
xAI 3.7%
$1,256,185 ปริมาณ
$1,256,185 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Anthropic
$152,640 ปริมาณ
72%
OpenAI
$118,672 ปริมาณ
12%
$75,870 ปริมาณ
10%
xAI
$104,245 ปริมาณ
4%
Meta
$75,921 ปริมาณ
2%
DeepSeek
$88,941 ปริมาณ
1%
Moonshot
$89,040 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba
$68,757 ปริมาณ
1%
Z.ai
$73,068 ปริมาณ
1%
ByteDance
$80,013 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$67,725 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$70,455 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$59,584 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$66,099 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$65,157 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent release of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 has driven its commanding market-implied lead, as the model tops independent leaderboards like BenchAlign v5 with scores around 84.8, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at 82.9 and other frontier large language models. It leads across coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, agentic evaluations, and reasoning tasks, reflecting stronger demonstrated capabilities in knowledge work and tool use than competitors’ September updates. Ongoing AI safety coordination among top labs adds stability to expectations, while the short timeline to year-end limits major shifts. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s consistent benchmark edge and release cadence most heavily in current odds.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,256,185วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic’s recent release of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 has driven its commanding market-implied lead, as the model tops independent leaderboards like BenchAlign v5 with scores around 84.8, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at 82.9 and other frontier large language models. It leads across coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, agentic evaluations, and reasoning tasks, reflecting stronger demonstrated capabilities in knowledge work and tool use than competitors’ September updates. Ongoing AI safety coordination among top labs adds stability to expectations, while the short timeline to year-end limits major shifts. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s consistent benchmark edge and release cadence most heavily in current odds.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,256,185วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 4, 2026, 1:39 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s recent release of Claude Fable 5.1 on September 1 has driven its commanding market-implied lead, as the model tops independent leaderboards like BenchAlign v5 with scores around 84.8, ahead of OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra at 82.9 and other frontier large language models. It leads across coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench Verified, agentic evaluations, and reasoning tasks, reflecting stronger demonstrated capabilities in knowledge work and tool use than competitors’ September updates. Ongoing AI safety coordination among top labs adds stability to expectations, while the short timeline to year-end limits major shifts. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s consistent benchmark edge and release cadence most heavily in current odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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