Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 53% chance that an Anthropic Claude model will hit 50% or better on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's recent 43.8% score (adaptive mode) on tiers 1-3, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro at 52.4% but showing steady gains from prior versions like Opus 4.5's 21%. Anthropic's emphasis on agentic coding—where Claude dominates SWE-Bench Pro at 77.8%—has diverted focus from pure math reasoning, though infrastructure deals like the $1.8B Akamai pact signal scaling for next-gen training. With 45 days left, watch for Opus 4.8 previews or re-evaluations; FrontierMath's unsolved problems demand novel insights, and slips in timelines remain common in this competitive AI landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$61,941 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2026
50%+
54%
$61,941 ปริมาณ
50%+
$14,907 ปริมาณ
54%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 53% chance that an Anthropic Claude model will hit 50% or better on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's recent 43.8% score (adaptive mode) on tiers 1-3, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro at 52.4% but showing steady gains from prior versions like Opus 4.5's 21%. Anthropic's emphasis on agentic coding—where Claude dominates SWE-Bench Pro at 77.8%—has diverted focus from pure math reasoning, though infrastructure deals like the $1.8B Akamai pact signal scaling for next-gen training. With 45 days left, watch for Opus 4.8 previews or re-evaluations; FrontierMath's unsolved problems demand novel insights, and slips in timelines remain common in this competitive AI landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,941วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 53% chance that an Anthropic Claude model will hit 50% or better on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's recent 43.8% score (adaptive mode) on tiers 1-3, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro at 52.4% but showing steady gains from prior versions like Opus 4.5's 21%. Anthropic's emphasis on agentic coding—where Claude dominates SWE-Bench Pro at 77.8%—has diverted focus from pure math reasoning, though infrastructure deals like the $1.8B Akamai pact signal scaling for next-gen training. With 45 days left, watch for Opus 4.8 previews or re-evaluations; FrontierMath's unsolved problems demand novel insights, and slips in timelines remain common in this competitive AI landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,941วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 53% chance that an Anthropic Claude model will hit 50% or better on the FrontierMath benchmark by June 30, 2026, driven by Claude Opus 4.7's recent 43.8% score (adaptive mode) on tiers 1-3, trailing OpenAI's GPT-5.5 Pro at 52.4% but showing steady gains from prior versions like Opus 4.5's 21%. Anthropic's emphasis on agentic coding—where Claude dominates SWE-Bench Pro at 77.8%—has diverted focus from pure math reasoning, though infrastructure deals like the $1.8B Akamai pact signal scaling for next-gen training. With 45 days left, watch for Opus 4.8 previews or re-evaluations; FrontierMath's unsolved problems demand novel insights, and slips in timelines remain common in this competitive AI landscape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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