Incumbent President Javier Milei commands trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability to win Argentina's October 2027 presidential election, buoyed by his La Libertad Avanza party's landslide midterm victory in October 2025 that bolstered congressional leverage for reforms. Buenos Aires Province Governor Axel Kicillof trails at 33.5% as the emerging Peronist frontrunner, gaining traction from recent polls like AtlasIntel's April survey showing his 46% positive image amid Milei's 63% disapproval rating, fueled by March inflation stalling at 3.4% monthly and the ongoing Adorni corruption scandal involving undeclared assets. Divergent polling averages—some head-to-heads favor Kicillof—underscore market faith in Milei's base turnout and incumbency edge, with primaries eyed for August 2027 potentially fragmenting opposition further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArgentina Presidential Election Winner
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier Milei 50%
Axel Kicillof 34%
Dante Gebel 5.1%
Myriam Bregman 2.8%
$65,713 ปริมาณ
$65,713 ปริมาณ
Javier Milei
50%
Axel Kicillof
34%
Dante Gebel
5%
Myriam Bregman
3%
Mauricio Macri
3%
Sergio Massa
3%
Juan Grabois
3%
Victoria Villarruel
1%
Juan Schiaretti
1%
Facundo Manes
1%
Esteban Bullrich
<1%
Javier Milei 50%
Axel Kicillof 34%
Dante Gebel 5.1%
Myriam Bregman 2.8%
$65,713 ปริมาณ
$65,713 ปริมาณ
Javier Milei
50%
Axel Kicillof
34%
Dante Gebel
5%
Myriam Bregman
3%
Mauricio Macri
3%
Sergio Massa
3%
Juan Grabois
3%
Victoria Villarruel
1%
Juan Schiaretti
1%
Facundo Manes
1%
Esteban Bullrich
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent President Javier Milei commands trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability to win Argentina's October 2027 presidential election, buoyed by his La Libertad Avanza party's landslide midterm victory in October 2025 that bolstered congressional leverage for reforms. Buenos Aires Province Governor Axel Kicillof trails at 33.5% as the emerging Peronist frontrunner, gaining traction from recent polls like AtlasIntel's April survey showing his 46% positive image amid Milei's 63% disapproval rating, fueled by March inflation stalling at 3.4% monthly and the ongoing Adorni corruption scandal involving undeclared assets. Divergent polling averages—some head-to-heads favor Kicillof—underscore market faith in Milei's base turnout and incumbency edge, with primaries eyed for August 2027 potentially fragmenting opposition further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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